August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Canada Goose
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Catnip wrote: Mon Aug 19, 2019 11:08 am A nice long weekend coming up?
Ya, likely.

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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Monty wrote: Sun Aug 18, 2019 8:57 am Wednesday’s front has looked pretty juicy on the past couple model runs. It does swing through pretty quickly though.
Last couple GFS runs less juicy at least over Metro Van. . It has precip going north and another band over SW Wash and NW Oregon. I actually can't believe how dry August has been so far in my area. The grass is starting to turn yellow. Only 8.8mm in Burke mtn gauge . That's weak. That system about 10 days ago missed us and went south and north so some areas have had a wet august like parts of Washington have been much wetter. And some long range models are now showing strong ridging for late August into September. The CPC is showing that too. Indian summer. We are overdue for one like we used to see in the 80s and early 90s.
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Seems like we are most likely heading towards a warm stretch late in the month. I’d bet we see a relatively slow onset of our fall rains this year.
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Looking like this will end up as the 11th consecutive drier than normal summer at Shawnigan Lake
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Looks hot. Probably strong offshore flow
E3413A82-6033-4FE3-8308-7EA9B7C8C0C7.png
Wowzers. Get your air conditioners. 🥵 probably won’t verify that hot
82C4C516-D118-42E4-B94F-836A0E629C9A.png
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: Tue Aug 20, 2019 12:00 am Looks hot. Probably strong offshore flow

E3413A82-6033-4FE3-8308-7EA9B7C8C0C7.png

Wowzers. Get your air conditioners. 🥵 probably won’t verify that hot

82C4C516-D118-42E4-B94F-836A0E629C9A.png
WTF! Luckily we have our central air so bring it on plus l start my last rotation of vacation starting on September 4th. :shock: :thumbup:
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Abby_wx wrote: Sun Aug 18, 2019 1:18 pm I'm not familiar with this brand, but it looks very good for the price. Nice work on the installation! :thumbup:

I may look at upgrading soon... or maybe just refurbish my Davis with their updated rain gauge and temperature sensor.
Thanks Abby Sr. they also have a unit with separate wind, rain guage and temperature sensor. So you can put your wind apparatus on a pole your rain guage at ground level and the temperature sensor on a north facing location.
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Aug 18, 2019 11:04 pm I love it! Congrats! :D :clap:
Thanks Jr. :D
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Tue Aug 20, 2019 12:00 am Looks hot. Probably strong offshore flow

E3413A82-6033-4FE3-8308-7EA9B7C8C0C7.png

Wowzers. Get your air conditioners. 🥵 probably won’t verify that hot

82C4C516-D118-42E4-B94F-836A0E629C9A.png
Dang...Welp, almost got through without a big time heatwave, but better off at the end of the summer before the rains come so it doesn't result in an extended forest fire season.
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Snowed_in wrote: Tue Aug 20, 2019 10:09 am Dang...Welp, almost got through without a big time heatwave, but better off at the end of the summer before the rains come so it doesn't result in an extended forest fire season.
Hope it don’t happen. Can still change a million times
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

John wrote: Tue Aug 20, 2019 1:29 pm Hope it don’t happen. Can still change a million times
I hope it does happen! :D :clap:
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Nice end to Summer!
ACD0B5F6-19A7-4FC2-88CF-DB5A7B8202DF.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Aug 20, 2019 5:50 pm I hope it does happen! :D :clap:
Ditto. This summer has been so boring that any kind of extreme weather would be interesting.
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Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Mon Aug 19, 2019 3:35 pm Last couple GFS runs less juicy at least over Metro Van. . It has precip going north and another band over SW Wash and NW Oregon. I actually can't believe how dry August has been so far in my area. The grass is starting to turn yellow. Only 8.8mm in Burke mtn gauge . That's weak. That system about 10 days ago missed us and went south and north so some areas have had a wet august like parts of Washington have been much wetter. And some long range models are now showing strong ridging for late August into September. The CPC is showing that too. Indian summer. We are overdue for one like we used to see in the 80s and early 90s.
Yeah, the grass is almost completely yellow around here. I'm at 5.8 mm for the month. The damp July really made no appreciable difference... I guess the ground was already so dry that it absorbed the moisture before it could reach the root systems.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: August 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Tue Aug 20, 2019 12:39 am Thanks Abby Sr. they also have a unit with separate wind, rain guage and temperature sensor. So you can put your wind apparatus on a pole your rain guage at ground level and the temperature sensor on a north facing location.
Yeah, that's the major weakness of the Davis system, but apparently their new temperature sensor has a long cable so that you can separate it from the other components. That's reason enough to upgrade, IMO.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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