October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

October has been pretty dry so far. Looks like that’s about to change.
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 14, 2019 9:29 pm Well...we are due for a dry and mild fall and early winter. Sept/Oct has been chilly and wet. Do not see a +ENSO winter though.

That Greenland block is rather ugly.
UGLY or beautiful. We can do well with Greenland blocking
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

EC says 40% chance of showers here this afternoon. Guess this is gonna fizzle cause that seems like a pretty wet looking radar shot
45A0A242-C0E4-4E4F-8453-70DC837F5099.png
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 10:03 am EC says 40% chance of showers here this afternoon. Guess this is gonna fizzle cause that seems like a pretty wet looking radar shot

45A0A242-C0E4-4E4F-8453-70DC837F5099.png
Or EC is wrong. :lol:
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 10:00 am UGLY or beautiful. We can do well with Greenland blocking

4F48AF0E-59E5-4D32-8818-FFFB4038CA9F.png
Beautiful.

That's the "ultimate trifecta" for cold in BC right there.
-PNA/-EPO/-NAO.
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 12:03 pm Beautiful.

That's the "ultimate trifecta" for cold in BC right there.
-PNA/-EPO/-NAO.
All primed up for an awesome winter for us :D :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Don't know about anyone else, but we had a bit of a gusty north wind kicking up at Edgemont Village just now. Rain was at a 45 degree angle and a couple leaves are being thrown around despite the sogginess.
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 10:27 am Or EC is wrong. :lol:
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 3:43 pm F329877A-19F2-409C-B5A3-5ACD14B17B72.jpeg
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 3:43 pm F329877A-19F2-409C-B5A3-5ACD14B17B72.jpeg
And there's a 150% chance that sardineman will be commenting on the photo.
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Mattman wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 4:59 am At this point I'm inclined to wait and see. The GFS has had some blocky solutions for the next 7 days 7ish days ago only to cave to a more zonal pattern. Same for the end of the month: GFS was setting up a ridge by the end of the month yesterday, but now the 06z is zonal towards the end of the month. What is certain is model flip-flopping uncertainty.
Yeah, I guess we'll see. Just seems like we're overdue for a pattern change. 18z is back to showing a ridge in the mid and long range
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

+PNA towards end of month :thumbup:

Still at the time of year where a massive ridge can bring very warm temps.
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 8:39 pm +PNA towards end of month :thumbup:

Still at the time of year where a massive ridge can bring very warm temps.
Wouldn't mind a mild spell at all.
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 3:43 pm F329877A-19F2-409C-B5A3-5ACD14B17B72.jpeg
But can she score like the Knuckles lately. :lol: they dominate the Wingless 5-1. :thumbup:
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Re: October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 15, 2019 8:39 pm +PNA towards end of month :thumbup:

Still at the time of year where a massive ridge can bring very warm temps.
Yep. Looks very cold for central and eastern North America.
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