Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
-
- Weather Enthusiast
- Posts: 2522
- Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
- Location: Valley
- Has thanked: 3705 times
- Been thanked: 4036 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
That’s some incredible Sh*t but i didn’t believe in analogs
- Canada Goose
- Weather Enthusiast
- Posts: 2209
- Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
- Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
- Elevation: 11 m
- Has thanked: 741 times
- Been thanked: 4551 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Yep, climate doesn't work like this. Wait and see...
My Twitter/X account: https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC
- Hawk
- Storm Chaser
- Posts: 6633
- Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
- Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
- Elevation: 320/3024
- Has thanked: 11464 times
- Been thanked: 5854 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Well he is pretty bang on with dry November...wowCoquitlam79 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 26, 2019 10:45 am Same guy just predicted a dry spell lasting through most of November for SW BC. If he's right that really sucks for the start of the ski season cuz it's pretty much a guarantee that if there is a 3 week or so dry spell that it will be replaced by an atmospheric river/pineapple express type pattern. It usually happens that way at this time of year following extended ridging.
MAYDAY MAYDAY! We need some warm sunny weather this month. Some showers mixed in would be good too
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
- Monty
- Weather Enthusiast
- Posts: 4459
- Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
- Has thanked: 930 times
- Been thanked: 9187 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
So you don’t think we’re going to see -20s on the coast this winter?
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Canada Goose
- Weather Enthusiast
- Posts: 2209
- Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
- Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
- Elevation: 11 m
- Has thanked: 741 times
- Been thanked: 4551 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
I don't think anything about seasonal forecast. It's way too complicated.
What I mean is that we can have a very dry and mild November, then a very dry and mild winter or a very wet and mild winter or a very wet and cold winter or a very dry and cold winter.
It's unlikely that we have this pattern all winter, so wait to see...
My Twitter/X account: https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC
- Monty
- Weather Enthusiast
- Posts: 4459
- Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
- Has thanked: 930 times
- Been thanked: 9187 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
It’s fun to prognosticate.Canada Goose wrote: ↑Wed Nov 06, 2019 8:14 pm I don't think anything about seasonal forecast. It's way too complicated.
What I mean is that we can have a very dry and mild November, then a very dry and mild winter or a very wet and mild winter or a very wet and cold winter or a very dry and cold winter.
It's unlikely that we have this pattern all winter, so wait to see...
Fun fact. I think the last -20C on the south coast was 2008
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Typeing3
- Weather Psycho
- Posts: 12117
- Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
- Location: Coquitlam
- Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
- Has thanked: 20232 times
- Been thanked: 22666 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Nanaimo?
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary
- Monty
- Weather Enthusiast
- Posts: 4459
- Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
- Has thanked: 930 times
- Been thanked: 9187 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
Yes sir. Their data is a bit sketchy that month, unfortunately, but it seems plausible looking at the hourly obs.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Canada Goose
- Weather Enthusiast
- Posts: 2209
- Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
- Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
- Elevation: 11 m
- Has thanked: 741 times
- Been thanked: 4551 times
- Glacier
- Model Rider
- Posts: 1659
- Joined: Tue Aug 06, 2019 2:21 pm
- Location: Vernon
- Elevation: 545m/1788 ft
- Has thanked: 406 times
- Been thanked: 3702 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
December 2008 was the last time Kelowna was -30. Also, it was the EARLIEST ever to hit -30, reaching that mark on the 20th!
https://climat.meteo.gc.ca/climate_data ... &Year=2008
Other FACTS from Dec 2008:
-20.0C in:
NANAIMO
KITIMAT
OKANAGAN CENTRE
BILLINGS
KASLO
SOUTH SLOCAN
WARFIELD
-21.0C in:
OSOYOOS
PEACHLAND
-25.5C in:
NASS CAMP
WHISTLER ROUNDHOUSE
WHISTLER MOUNTAIN HIGH LEVEL
VERNON
-30 to -35C in:
FORT ST JAMES
MERRITT
SMITHERS
PRINCE GEORGE
CRANBROOK
Coldest spots:
PUNTZI MOUNTAIN (AUT) = -43
GERMANSEN LANDING = -42.9 [Weather station has since closed]
HORSEFLY LAKE GRUHS LAKE = -41
100 MILE HOUSE 6NE = -41
LUNCH LAKE = -40.5 [Weather station has since closed]
CHETWYND A = -40.5
SPOKIN LAKE 4E = -40
https://climat.meteo.gc.ca/climate_data ... &Year=2008
Other FACTS from Dec 2008:
-20.0C in:
NANAIMO
KITIMAT
OKANAGAN CENTRE
BILLINGS
KASLO
SOUTH SLOCAN
WARFIELD
-21.0C in:
OSOYOOS
PEACHLAND
-25.5C in:
NASS CAMP
WHISTLER ROUNDHOUSE
WHISTLER MOUNTAIN HIGH LEVEL
VERNON
-30 to -35C in:
FORT ST JAMES
MERRITT
SMITHERS
PRINCE GEORGE
CRANBROOK
Coldest spots:
PUNTZI MOUNTAIN (AUT) = -43
GERMANSEN LANDING = -42.9 [Weather station has since closed]
HORSEFLY LAKE GRUHS LAKE = -41
100 MILE HOUSE 6NE = -41
LUNCH LAKE = -40.5 [Weather station has since closed]
CHETWYND A = -40.5
SPOKIN LAKE 4E = -40
- Catnip
- Moderator
- Posts: 9350
- Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
- Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
- Elevation: 530ft
- Has thanked: 11452 times
- Been thanked: 20147 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
- SouthSardiswx
- Donator
- Posts: 18732
- Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
- Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
- Has thanked: 51021 times
- Been thanked: 15683 times
Re: Winter 2019-20 Forecasts and Discussions
CKNW mentioned this morning looks like a good dart board to me.Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Nov 18, 2019 7:00 am https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/ne ... ow-outlook
5D6437A7-43B6-4979-9C71-4F6F42AFDDE4.jpeg
Join us next season
Cannot's are Pacific Division Champs!
Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm
South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Cannot's are Pacific Division Champs!
Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm
South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather