April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

April showers bring May flowers! Will we have a lot of rain this month? We're heading into El Nino territory so it will be interesting to see how the weather pattern develops over this month and into the Summer.
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Mar 24, 2023 11:05 am April showers bring May flowers!
bcprecip2.png
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert:
The snows in cabin country(Similkameeens) have taken a ferocious beating the last cupla weeks. Still lots left in areas...maybe around 8 to 12", but gone from roadways and areas in the sun, due to higher sun angles. Still around 50% coverage in sunny areas. Lake still has ~15" of ice..can still ice fish but edges of lake are melting and very sketchy to get onto lake. Another cupla weeks and
another deeeecent Similkameeens winter will be just another fabulous memory :hearteyes:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

stuffradio wrote: Fri Mar 24, 2023 11:05 am April showers bring May flowers! Will we have a lot of rain this month? We're heading into El Nino territory so it will be interesting to see how the weather pattern develops over this month and into the Summer.
So what does April snow bring?? Santa Bunny? :lol:
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Euro still calling for snow, but 925 mbar temperatures starting to look marginal.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-0436800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-0436800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-dew2m_c-0436800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-0436800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_12hr_cm-0447600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

0.8ËšC. Surprisingly cold for a mostly cloudy morning in April. If precip was falling, it could well be wet snow.

Who knows if it will happen or not, but the Euro guidance for tomorrow morning is surprisingly plausible.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Apr 01, 2023 1:25 am So what does April snow bring?? Santa Bunny? :lol:
Christmas in July :)
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert:
that cell over the Valley produced some decent hail this a.m.
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Looking very troffy again :think:
Im surprised EC hasnt mentioned T-Storms yet considering the instability and hail already at 930am in the valley(Langley). Some Cumulus out there this morning already, and with daytime heating due to higher sun angles...it looks like some downpours, with heavy rain, hail likely and possible thunder and lightning today. Some very angry looking clouds out there already and its only morning time :shock: :shock:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

RGEM starting to agree with Euro on tomorrow morning :think: :think:
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (67).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (68).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (69).png
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20230401222854-dd727381562d3a1c2a1b91eca8570fa5eb240223.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Apr 01, 2023 3:29 pm 20230401222854-dd727381562d3a1c2a1b91eca8570fa5eb240223.png
Long range 8-)
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

12Z Euro still calling for snow tonight.
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-0436800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-0436800.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_12hr_cm-0447600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: April 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

12Z GFS agrees with Euro on snow tonight.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr_mm-0447600.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-t925-0436800.png
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_12hr_cm-0447600.png
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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