September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 1:56 pm I bet after a few years of being spoiled we're back to maybe 2 dry cold snaps and 15 cm at most for the season at YVR.
We are long overdue for a multi-week ridgefest with lots of fog and dirty ridging in between.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Mattman »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 1:56 pm I bet after a few years of being spoiled we're back to maybe 2 dry cold snaps and 15 cm at most for the season at YVR.
I wonder if 15cm is too generous. I'm ready for a '91/'92 repeat: a bit of snow late October into early November followed by dry, inversion hell. I remember our family biking around town on a sunny Christmas day that year around Kelowna; however, in the Okanagan I remember that as a very dull, cloudy, dry winter. I think December had only 4 mm of precip that year.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 3:06 pm We are long overdue for a multi-week ridgefest with lots of fog and dirty ridging in between.
Regenerated from last winter and the year before and so on yes El Mildo is back. :wave:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 8:15 am I would love to have this!
You mentioned Langley Lots but your signature says you live in Maple ridge. Where do you actually live?
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 8:25 am They are probably looking for the first answer, but the fourth is a consequence of the first and also a cause of lower temperatures.

The second answer is the opposite of the truth (yes, the Earth is closer to the Sun during the Northern Hemisphere winter) and the third is just plain incorrect.
And the correct answer was no.1 Rubes. :thumbup: :clap: we reached a high of 17.5c @ the pond in south Sardis with showers and just fall like all day.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Sun Sep 24, 2023 7:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 1:47 pm Jr. said theres a chance...
It really only takes one event to slap 20-30cms down right..pad those annual totals... :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
The last I looked at the stats for YVR, snowfalls in the 20+ cm range are quite rare. There’s really not that many on record, considering how long the period of record is. We have done very well to have three of them in the past two winters.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

We will definitely know the answer by mid March :thumbup:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 8:35 pm The last I looked at the stats for YVR, snowfalls in the 20+ cm range are quite rare. There’s really not that many on record, considering how long the period of record is. We have done very well to have three of them in the past two winters.
Ya but your area is much snowier than YVR :thumbup:

YVR is kinda like Pitt Meadows.. :arrow: :arrow:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 8:35 pm The last I looked at the stats for YVR, snowfalls in the 20+ cm range are quite rare. There’s really not that many on record, considering how long the period of record is. We have done very well to have three of them in the past two winters.
YVR is right on the coast, so makes sense. While still uncommon in comparison to other places in Canada, 20+ cm snowfalls are much more common at YXX than YVR. Hoping for at least one this winter. :silent: :shh: Hope I didn't just jinx it. :lol: :oops:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Happy Sunday. Looks pretty soggy next several days. Mushroom season is in full effect now :thumbup:
Are we prepared for this stormy, chilly and wet November, LN style, with our first warning shots :flakey: :flakey: coming early due to this potentially historic LN :shock: :shock:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 8:35 pm The last I looked at the stats for YVR, snowfalls in the 20+ cm range are quite rare. There’s really not that many on record, considering how long the period of record is. We have done very well to have three of them in the past two winters.
Image

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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 8:27 am I don’t expect to get more than 30 cm total IMBY. If I do, I will be pleasantly surprised.
10 to 20 cm for YVR this winter is my guess
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Hawk wrote: Sat Sep 23, 2023 5:06 pm You mentioned Langley Lots but your signature says you live in Maple ridge. Where do you actually live?
Maybe I should start saying I live in the Similkameeens!
I do live in Langley right now though
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 7:07 am Image

(Data: Vancouver PMO (1898-1937) + YVR (1938-present))
20 in 125 years, on average about one every 6 years. I’m sure there’s a lot more in the 20–24 cm range, so maybe one 20+ cm snowfall every two or three years?

Like I said earlier, we have done very well to get three major snowfalls in the past two winters.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Sep 24, 2023 8:12 am 20 in 125 years, on average about one every 6 years. I’m sure there’s a lot more in the 20–24 cm range, so maybe one 20+ cm snowfall every two or three years?

Like I said earlier, we have done very well to get three major snowfalls in the past two winters.
One in the last 15 years unfortunately...

YVR has only recorded one daily 20cm+ snowfall since 2008. :thumbdown:
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