January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2957
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 4534 times
Been thanked: 4973 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Coldest run ever??
Top
User avatar
Radar
Weather Fanatic
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 891
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 39 times
Been thanked: 1667 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Hound wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 12:14 pm Well we get to kick off January 2020 with a current temp of + 11 :roll:
13 in mission deroche.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
Top
User avatar
Radar
Weather Fanatic
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 891
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 39 times
Been thanked: 1667 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Slytyguy wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 12:20 pm 6 cm of snow showing on the GEM in Chilliwack by 4:00am Friday. Not sold on this, but is interesting to note4EE8C76E-247C-4BCB-9D0A-549532796558.jpeg
The GEM has been very unreliable for snowfall totals. Last year I found the NAM and GFS much better
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
Top
User avatar
Radar
Weather Fanatic
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 891
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 39 times
Been thanked: 1667 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Slytyguy wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 12:20 pm 6 cm of snow showing on the GEM in Chilliwack by 4:00am Friday. Not sold on this, but is interesting to note4EE8C76E-247C-4BCB-9D0A-549532796558.jpeg
Also the GEM lists high elevations usually. Doesn’t do surface well.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
Top
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16337 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Good news is that models are doing away with the +SST anomalies in the NPAC. There is more jet consolidation in the LR. The same models are tending to over amplify the NPAC ridge in the the extended range over and over. This has been an issue with the EPS and GFS ensembles this entire season.

Progressive is way better than stagnation and increases the % of seeing lowland snow and major storms.

I may have a Jan warm bias but am willing to bet Feb gets really interesting this year once the dust settles.
Top
User avatar
Radar
Weather Fanatic
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 891
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 39 times
Been thanked: 1667 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

Urban heat island effects.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
Top
User avatar
Radar
Weather Fanatic
Weather Fanatic
Posts: 891
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 39 times
Been thanked: 1667 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 1:30 pm Nito has fun with the weather just like the rest of us. Lets refrain from saying things like "so and so is always wrong." Thats not nice. :thumbup:
When are weather predictors and models ever consistently right?
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
24/25 snow total: 29cm
Top
User avatar
Lisa0527
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 542
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:26 pm
Location: Dunbar at 200 feet
Has thanked: 354 times
Been thanked: 803 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

End of the run is not too shabby :team:

I mean, if the thought of 2 feet of snow on the ground is of interest to anyone here....
Last edited by Lisa0527 on Wed Jan 01, 2020 3:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Top
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16337 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Radar wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 3:03 pm When are weather predictors and models ever consistently right?
When they show endless ridging it seems...
Top
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2957
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 4534 times
Been thanked: 4973 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

And the run ends with just another 3 day snow storm.
:socool:
Top
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3125
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7523 times
Contact:
Contact stuffradio

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

18Z GFS is insane cold. Vodka
Top
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13670 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Anybody mind posting the ensembles, thank you kindly :)
Top
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8627
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17147 times
Been thanked: 8324 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 1:53 pm I wonder if snow wizard on the A forums will learn? :lol: I respect and appreciate his enthusiasm but he seems to actually get upset when people don't agree with him. :roll: :lol:

Screen Shot 2020-01-01 at 1.52.18 PM.png
Ok guys..I know u need to get ur fix. But please...do u all shop at Walmart and Costco whenever u can? Go Canada go? Make us stronger?
:whack: :whack:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
Top
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Snowed_in wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 4:08 pm Anybody mind posting the ensembles, thank you kindly :)
MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Top
Michael1
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 798
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:49 pm
Location: Nanoose
Elevation: 120 ft.
Has thanked: 805 times
Been thanked: 1685 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

a strong N.W wind just kicked up out of nowhere with darkening clouds. Weird
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”