January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Lisa0527 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 12:58 pm This is very pretty...

E23837C2-8B76-432C-88E8-B60DB4F2AE2D.jpeg
lol..esp if all 4 Lows Pattern Lock in and all follow each other lol :clap: :clap:
we can all dream...models make it look so nice fro us so many times :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 10:46 am Daggers are out on the AF l see.
What perplexes me is how many of the model riders there allege that it's a fun practice, despite how cranky they tend to get when the models stop going as they wished.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

https://twitter.com/SeattleWXGuy/status ... 1198981120
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:eatyum:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 12:19 pm I know..thanks..should i spam to reach the next level then? :think: :think:
There's something, um, fishy about such a strategy.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 1:18 pm There's something, um, fishy about such a strategy.
Oh damn! Best post of the day! :clap: :lol: :thumbup:
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Hawk
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 1:18 pm There's something, um, fishy about such a strategy.
haha..yes i will spare us all the pages and pages :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Hawk
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Yes..we need that PG High at 105.2. Please.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Heavy 254
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

Sure feels cooler than 7 degrees
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Lisa0527 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 12:58 pm This is very pretty...

E23837C2-8B76-432C-88E8-B60DB4F2AE2D.jpeg
The day of the McGregor fight :think:
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Looks like The Weather Network is on board.

Abbotsford:
twnabbotsford.png
Coquitlam:
twncoquitlam.png
And Tyler Hamilton's response to Jay Albrecht:

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 87171?s=20
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 12:35 pm And here is next Sunday. Still 7-9 days out so expect changes but nice to see the euro and GFS slowly converging in the mid/long range.
True, but the EPS deamplifies that ridge in the clown range. Probably doesn't matter much at this point given its 300+ hours away right?
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-9262400.png
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

18Z is a little bit snowier so far...just a little.


Ok, maybe twice as snowy :shock:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Lisa0527 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:38 pm 18Z is a little bit snowier so far...just a little.
Yes it does it’s a really snowy setup with low after low coming from the northwest and outflow in place. Not crazy cold which is what you want for a snowy patern.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Good run. Less cold but more snow.

Shows 5-15cm of wet snow on Friday, changing to rain in the evening. Chilly and wet through Saturday afternoon before the arctic front pushes thru from the north in the evening, interacting with a surface low. Another shot of snow with that before things clear up Sunday.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 2:35 pm True, but the EPS deamplifies that ridge in the clown range. Probably doesn't matter much at this point given its 300+ hours away right?

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-9262400.png
No, doesn't really matter at this point. Better to focus on the mid range (~100-200hrs) stuff first.
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