January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:03 am Waterlogged!

:lol:

I'm not sure. I think it is an issue with the access communicating with Wunderground. If I reset the unit it starts to work for a bit then goes offline. I need to find the time to troubleshoot it some more.
O.k. should have gone with Ecowitt been working flawlessly for me guess to late to return?
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AF says 12Z GFS showing 1 day of cold air then gone. :x
Congrats coach Toks winner of the Jack Adams trophy for coach of the year.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:08 am AF says 12Z GFS showing 1 day of cold air then gone. :x
More like half a day. :twisted:

But yeah, I would pay for one cold/sunny day right now. This weather is depressing even by Vancouver standards. Hopefully will be out of BC later this year. ;)
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:08 am AF says 12Z GFS showing 1 day of cold air then gone. :x
Don't worry, it's still the clown range. :lol:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

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I'll be trying to further improve performance of the website by using a lite CDN, meaning it's not a full-blown one yet, but it will start to serve some of the content on faster servers to hopefully improve the speed of the page loads etc. :)
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bear Golden »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2020 11:26 pm Does anyone have the mountain forecast for this week how are the snow levels l would imagine like a yo yo?
I actually find this site to be super accurate:

https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/W ... b/6day/mid

https://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/C ... n/6day/mid
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Strong PV. Anomalous westerly flow and no High latitude blocking. Meaningful cold or any type of dry stretch will be hard to come by the next 2 to 3 weeks. Perhaps a brief episode of cold onshore flow in early February with 0-500ft snow levels
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Monty wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:42 am Strong PV. Anomalous westerly flow and no High latitude blocking. Meaningful cold or any type of dry stretch will be hard to come by the next 2 to 3 weeks. Perhaps a brief episode of cold onshore flow in early February with 0-500ft snow levels
The 06Z GfS solution with a widespread quick overrunning event is probably the best case scenario
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:42 am Strong PV. Anomalous westerly flow and no High latitude blocking. Meaningful cold or any type of dry stretch will be hard to come by the next 2 to 3 weeks. Perhaps a brief episode of cold onshore flow in early February with 0-500ft snow levels
All that cold over Alaska dumping into the GOA is really fueling the jet.

Generally wet and mild over the next while intermixed some cooler periods of lowish snow levels as you said.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:02 am Abby Sr. Is your station still incorrect?
I did some calibration of the rain gauge, but it seems to be reading a little high now. According to my manual gauge I should be just under 190 mm for January, but it's showing 203.8 mm.

Unless you were thinking of something else being inaccurate... my nighttime temperature reads a bit high compared to the airport, but that's not an error.
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:06 am O.k. should have gone with Ecowitt been working flawlessly for me guess to late to return?
How is the Ecowitt's rain gauge?

Also Davis has a new type of tipping bucket that is supposed to be better than the old ones I might upgrade to that and see how that is.
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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 10:25 am All that cold over Alaska dumping into the GOA is really fueling the jet.

Generally wet and mild over the next while intermixed some cooler periods of lowish snow levels as you said.
If it doesn't snow again then bring on the +20C sunshine!
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

Antares wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 10:44 am If it doesn't snow again then bring on the +20C sunshine!
Not yet- I hate weeding
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:42 am Strong PV. Anomalous westerly flow and no High latitude blocking. Meaningful cold or any type of dry stretch will be hard to come by the next 2 to 3 weeks. Perhaps a brief episode of cold onshore flow in early February with 0-500ft snow levels
Hopefully we can knock down that PV south with a massive GOA block. Otherwise we may not get one more arctic blast this winter, as we all hoped. I still have a good feeling for February but we'll have to see how it all unfolds. That stubborn PV is concerning.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Nito must be living this. Mild rain. He lives for this sh...tuff.


My rain stats are gonna be messed up with ice clogged rain gauges this month. But I’m sure we just passed 10” for January here.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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