March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
- SouthSardiswx
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Hmmmmm...Bearhead may not be dropping bear dung, pulled this off the NWS site tonight. Just one more shot to watch for thoughts?
The end of the week is trending...
interesting. A ridge may amplify across the Pacific into Alaska,
essentially creating what looks to be an omega block, with a
robust area of closed low pressure dropping down from Canada into
the Pacific Northwest. This general pattern is agreed upon by
ensemble guidance in the 500mb height anomalies. What is uncertain
and will continue to be uncertain is the finer details of this
scenario. Currently seeing decent moisture with this system. Will
likely see a return to chilly rain, with current snow levels
projected to fall to at least 1000ft by Friday evening and
eventually near the sfc by Saturday morning. High temps will
likely be refined in the coming days but currently argue for rain
during the day Friday and a rain/snow mix Friday night. Will need
to watch how this trends over the next few days. Also uncertainty
as to how much moisture is left as snow levels tumble. Current
indications are that most of the moisture is gone by this time.
All in all, could see a trend towards some light winter precip or
at least a mix late next week/early next weekend.
The end of the week is trending...
interesting. A ridge may amplify across the Pacific into Alaska,
essentially creating what looks to be an omega block, with a
robust area of closed low pressure dropping down from Canada into
the Pacific Northwest. This general pattern is agreed upon by
ensemble guidance in the 500mb height anomalies. What is uncertain
and will continue to be uncertain is the finer details of this
scenario. Currently seeing decent moisture with this system. Will
likely see a return to chilly rain, with current snow levels
projected to fall to at least 1000ft by Friday evening and
eventually near the sfc by Saturday morning. High temps will
likely be refined in the coming days but currently argue for rain
during the day Friday and a rain/snow mix Friday night. Will need
to watch how this trends over the next few days. Also uncertainty
as to how much moisture is left as snow levels tumble. Current
indications are that most of the moisture is gone by this time.
All in all, could see a trend towards some light winter precip or
at least a mix late next week/early next weekend.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
Wrinkle Rockers:
South Sardines:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Wrinkle Rockers:
South Sardines:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
- Monty
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Their averages aren’t that much higher than places further south. A bit of elevation helps quite a bit. Campbell river surf side (9m) averages about 50cm. But the airport at 100m averages about 85cm.Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Sun Mar 08, 2020 12:12 am nice but yes Campbell river is the sweet spot on the east side of the island, Courtney as well.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- PortKells
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
The GEM is worth a look for those 3 of us who haven't given up yet
- Monty
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
I’ll keep my snowblower out of storage for now
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Monty
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
A solid 100cm for Shawnigan lake. Lock it in
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Bonovox
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
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Spring/Summer Fall/Winter
Delta (Sunshine Hills) - Elevation: 280 feet
Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Delta (Sunshine Hills) - Elevation: 280 feet
Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
- PortKells
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- Canada Goose
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Dry...
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- AbbyJr
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Looks like we could see some significant Fraser outflow winds next weekend. Too bad its late March, probably nothing major in terms of low elevation snows but strong -PNA/-EPO signals in the models. This may not be good news if this pattern locks in as it could be favourable for heavy snows on the Coquihalla and I'm going to Kelowna for a couple of days on March 21st.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
- Monty
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Take the canyon. It’s a nice drive.AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sun Mar 08, 2020 4:04 pm Looks like we could see some significant Fraser outflow winds next weekend. Too bad its late March, probably nothing major in terms of low elevation snows but strong -PNA/-EPO signals in the models. This may not be good news if this pattern locks in as it could be favourable for heavy snows on the Coquihalla and I'm going to Kelowna for a couple of days on March 21st.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Monty
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Wow. 0z euro shows a massive snowstorm for southern Vancouver Island on Friday/Saturday. Just 5 days away
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- Monty
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- SouthSardiswx
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
In March with very high sun angles now that's equal to 10 days away in January we know how that turns out.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
Wrinkle Rockers:
South Sardines:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Wrinkle Rockers:
South Sardines:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
- Weather101
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Meh I just want sun at this point lol
All about them Cowboys !!!
- SouthSardiswx
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Re: March 2020 Forecasts and Discussions
Oh wow is anyone paying attention to what may happen later this week possible historic cold with snow possibility's 2002 maybe. I just looked at the models and oh my.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
Wrinkle Rockers:
South Sardines:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Wrinkle Rockers:
South Sardines:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather