September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Coquitlam79
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 » Wed Sep 11, 2019 9:22 pm

Mattman wrote:
Wed Sep 11, 2019 5:35 am
The 06z GFS still looks toasty in the long-range. I wonder if this will be similar to last fall: cool, troughy September with a predominantly ridge, sunny October.
I think that's quite common to get a couple weeks of cooler wetter weather sometime in September (in some years late August) than a return to ridging sometime between mid September and early-mid October. It's really not until late October where the fall pattern gets on full swing most years. I remember the late 80s and early 90s (and again in 98 and 02) this pattern was much more predominant. You could count on 3- 4 weeks of mainly dry weather at some point from Sept 1st to Halloween. Not a sure thing anymore for some reason but last year was a 15 day dry spell in October and 2013 was a 18 day dry spell. Nothing compared to the late 80s, early 90s where 3 or 4 week dry spells occurred in Sept and October quite regularly.
Last edited by Coquitlam79 on Wed Sep 11, 2019 9:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 » Wed Sep 11, 2019 9:25 pm

Coquitlam79 wrote:
Wed Sep 11, 2019 9:22 pm
I think that's quite common to get a couple weeks of cooler wetter weather sometime in September (in some years late August) than a return to ridging sometime between late September and early-mid October. It's really not until late October where the fall pattern gets on full swing most years. I remember the late 80s and early 90s (and again in 98 and 02) this pattern was much more predominant. You could count on 3- 4 weeks of mainly dry weather at some point from Sept 1st to Halloween. Not a sure thing anymore for some reason but last year was a 15 day dry spell in October and 2013 was a 18 day dry spell. Nothing compared to the late 80s, early 90s where 3 or 4 week dry spells occurred in Sept and October quite regularly.
Had some pretty great winters in the 80s and 90s as well, let's hope for more of the same this year. :thumbup:
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr » Wed Sep 11, 2019 11:19 pm

Somebody on YouTube was suggesting the lightning storm we had last weekend may have been related to Hurricane Dorian.

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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk » Thu Sep 12, 2019 9:10 am

Happy September! At least we are not getting the early Sept snows in the mountains to kill this years winter :lol: :lol: :lol: . I'm excited to see what we get this winter for snows :thumbup: :thumbup:
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio » Thu Sep 12, 2019 10:47 am

Looks wet and cool
2019091200_054@007_E1_yvr_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty » Thu Sep 12, 2019 1:42 pm

Quite the deluge crossing the South Island currently
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 » Thu Sep 12, 2019 2:31 pm

Monty wrote:
Thu Sep 12, 2019 1:42 pm
Quite the deluge crossing the South Island currently
Good news for the drought down there. :thumbup:
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio » Thu Sep 12, 2019 2:35 pm

Fire danger map not bad. Reservoir level still normal.
dr.png
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier » Thu Sep 12, 2019 3:47 pm

stuffradio wrote:
Thu Sep 12, 2019 2:35 pm
Fire danger map not bad. Reservoir level still normal.

dr.png
reservoirlevels.png
A frick-ton of rain the Cariboo this week. Williams Lake had more than a month worth of rain in the past 4 days. Puntzi Mountain out west of there had 33.3 mm in just one day, which is more than a month's worth, and is in fact the 3rd wettest day on record.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus » Thu Sep 12, 2019 4:45 pm

21 mm so far today...still raining fairly heavily!
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