January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

With this moving solidly inside day 10 we are going to want to see some ensemble improvement. More than just a couple members showing arctic air.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Hawk wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 8:58 am Yes..arctic intrusion then anchor that High over PG and lock it down! Thats how January used to be very cold in the past. Maybe this is our year finally :think: :think:
You are changing your tune we will take you back Hawk. Remember what your buddy said .
Last edited by Storm on Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:00 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

B8CB2732-78CA-4668-8EFD-34B99EDC3120.png
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:00 am B8CB2732-78CA-4668-8EFD-34B99EDC3120.png
no cabin trip if that map verifies...brrr into the -30's :shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:00 am With this moving solidly inside day 10 we are going to want to see some ensemble improvement. More than just a couple members showing arctic air.
GFS ensembles look good. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

Wind really picked up here in the last 30 mins. Gusting to 35 km/h
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:03 am GFS ensembles look good. :thumbup:
Yeah! They are finally starting to pick up on the cold signal!

:thumbup:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

13C readings south of the border right now. Should rise a few more degrees when the sun comes out! :thumbup:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Canadian a lot warmer for next weekend. Should we be concerned?
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:07 am 13C readings south of the border right now. Should rise a few more degrees when the sun comes out! :thumbup:
-13 readings south of the border in the future?

:dunno:
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Ensembles had been pretty similar with the latest runs. 12z is finally starting to pick up on the possible colder weather. Big improvement.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

12.4C in Comox, highest temp. so far.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:07 am 13C readings south of the border right now. Should rise a few more degrees when the sun comes out! :thumbup:
Were you forecasting +17 for south of the border? I think +14 was actually a reasonable call for the warm outliers today, you just threw in the +17 for dramatic effect.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:20 am Were you forecasting +17 for south of the border? I think +14 was actually a reasonable call for the warm outliers today, you just threw in the +17 for dramatic effect.
+14 to +17. Models indicated temps could spike into the 60's earlier this week but this died with the 100km/hr + winds. Downsloping southerlies in the Valley can really warm up the lower atmosphere in perfect conditions. Seem to recall a +18C reading in Jan back in the early 2000s.
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Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:20 am Were you forecasting +17 for south of the border? I think +14 was actually a reasonable call for the warm outliers today, you just threw in the +17 for dramatic effect.
Way to go Monty.
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