January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:25 am +14 to +17. Models indicated temps could spike into the 60's earlier this week but this died with the 100km/hr + winds. Downsloping southerlies in the Valley can really warm up the lower atmosphere in perfect conditions. Seem to recall a +18C reading in Jan back in the early 2000s.
:lol: did you start building your ICE BOX?
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typer:
ACA5336E-CA49-4728-991F-3CC086B9FC5B.png
6D5554A2-C4A4-468C-90B1-0D2A2EC286DB.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:25 am +14 to +17. Models indicated temps could spike into the 60's earlier this week but this died with the 100km/hr + winds. Downsloping southerlies in the Valley can really warm up the lower atmosphere in perfect conditions. Seem to recall a +18C reading in Jan back in the early 2000s.
Yes January 2005. Big Pineapple Express mid month. That is the January benchmark for warmth I believe
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:28 am Yes January 2005. Big Pineapple Express mid month. That is the January benchmark for warmth I believe
63F near Astoria. Still feel we could see some 60's out here before the front arrives. :thumbup:
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:32 am 63F near Astoria. Still feel we could see some 60's out here before the front arrives. :thumbup:
Props to you if you’re right
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6342
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12957 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:27 am Typer:

ACA5336E-CA49-4728-991F-3CC086B9FC5B.png

6D5554A2-C4A4-468C-90B1-0D2A2EC286DB.png
Note that those are in ËšF. Simply insane. Not gonna happen.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6737
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15607 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Storm wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:21 am Catnip can you post 12z Nam 12km.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6737
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15607 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z GFS 10 day snowfall total. :shock:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6604
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12857 times
Been thanked: 12303 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Major ensemble improvement on the 12Z GEFS. :thumbup:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:53 am
Thanks Bono. I think you get what you pay for on the weather models site. :lol:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2957
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 4534 times
Been thanked: 4973 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

What could be wrong with the gfs
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6737
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15607 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:55 am Thanks Bono. I think you get what you pay for on the weather models site. :lol:
Haha, thanks. I think each site has its pros and cons.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Lisa0527 wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:08 am Canadian a lot warmer for next weekend. Should we be concerned?
Always smart to be concerned around here
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6342
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12957 times

Re: January 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

John wrote: Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:55 am What could be wrong with the gfs
I’m thinking they still haven’t ironed out all the bugs in the updates they made to it. Last winter, it was called the experimental FV3 model, and it was continually exhibiting a crazy cold and snowy bias.
It's called clown range for a reason.
Post Reply