September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Weather101
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Hawk wrote: ↑Thu Sep 28, 2023 1:22 pm 8-) and :lurk: and also :uncom:
What does this even mean?
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



-------------------------------------------
20230929003342-c14ae6398268fceb5bfbed137048fab044a4b231.png
20230929003320-8796543115ea3c35dcde0bd31f6f5858d0bde369.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 28, 2023 5:35 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




-------------------------------------------
20230929003342-c14ae6398268fceb5bfbed137048fab044a4b231.png
20230929003320-8796543115ea3c35dcde0bd31f6f5858d0bde369.png
:blowtor: :blowtor:

Tell Em Neeeeeeeetz!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by NorthBurnabyWeather »

A lot of lightning around Golden Ears Park and Stave Lake this afternoon. I hope no campers were struck
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

A couple of peaks in the central valley with new snow. :o top photo is Mount Sleese the finger as l call it and below is called Lady's peak.
20230928_182748.jpg
20230928_182758.jpg
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Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Thu Sep 28, 2023 7:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Sep 28, 2023 5:35 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




-------------------------------------------
20230929003342-c14ae6398268fceb5bfbed137048fab044a4b231.png
20230929003320-8796543115ea3c35dcde0bd31f6f5858d0bde369.png
Wow, Thot perhaps another Rocktober heat hump complete with shorts and tees :thumbup: we reached a high of 15c @ the pond in south Sardis.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

NorthBurnabyWeather wrote: ↑Thu Sep 28, 2023 6:42 pm A lot of lightning around Golden Ears Park and Stave Lake this afternoon. I hope no campers were struck
Welcome back NBW. :thumbup:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Be careful with buying what the ensembles are saying. Based on MJO harmonics, which are fairly reliable, October is looking like a troughy, active and wet pattern for Western Canada.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Nordelian wrote: ↑Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:53 pm Be careful with buying what the ensembles are saying. Based on MJO harmonics, which are fairly reliable, October is looking like a troughy, active and wet pattern for Western Canada.
l agree Nords, l'm not buying off on the mild winter talk.
Perhaps overall but afew surprises may come our way.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Fri Sep 29, 2023 2:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Tonight's fun fact "did you know" in my best Get Smart voice. :D
If the Harvest Moon occurs in September then it replaces the Corn Moon but if it happens in October then it replaces the Hunters Moon. :o It's a chilly 9c @ the pond in south Sardis.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

You have to wait until clown range to get anything big.
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Seems like some conflicting results for Oct 2023..
To ridge or not to ridge..that is the question :think:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Last night's harvest moon, l must say the Samsung S23 Ultra has a decent camera, past cameras for night time shots were grainy.
It's currently 9c @ the pond in south Sardis.
20230929_064212.jpg
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The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: ↑Fri Sep 29, 2023 6:55 am Seems like some conflicting results for Oct 2023..
To ridge or not to ridge..that is the question :think:
:dunno:

Tune in on Oct 31 to find out!

:mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: September 2023 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Nordelian wrote: ↑Thu Sep 28, 2023 10:53 pm Be careful with buying what the ensembles are saying. Based on MJO harmonics, which are fairly reliable, October is looking like a troughy, active and wet pattern for Western Canada.
They don’t necessarily contradict each other. Could be torchy and dry for a week then the fire hose could turn on.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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