November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[VanCitySouth]

Yup. Plenty of AR's to go until winter hits and then inversion season kicks off with plenty of fog, frost, backdoor arctic air, and overrunning freezing drizzle!

So in your mind are we more likely to get a 2014/15 or 2015/16 redux?

[wetcoast91]

So in your mind are we more likely to get a 2014/15 or 2015/16 redux?

Numbers suggesting 97-98 and 15-16 based on enso intensity. 97-98 wasn't too bad for higher elevation snows. 2015-16...

[stuffradio]

Numbers suggesting 97-98 and 15-16 based on enso intensity. 97-98 wasn't too bad for higher elevation snows. 2015-16...

We're going to get an '18-'19 style Winter

[Typeing3]

Numbers suggesting 97-98 and 15-16 based on enso intensity. 97-98 wasn't too bad for higher elevation snows. 2015-16...

'82-83 and '72-73 would be contenders too if we're going with a strong El Nino.

[stuffradio]

The model ensembles are going for at least 6" or 150 mm of rain over the next 16 days.

gfs-ens_apcpn_us_64.png

gem-ens_apcpn_us_64.png

[Catnip]

I predict we are going to have a '23-'24 style winter.

[Weather101]

Models have done away with the 10" of snow in Southern Ontario and have replaced this with

Probably because I'm going there for 5 days.

Went to the Toronto Maple Leafs game yesterday to see my LA Kings, and could you imagine 20 bucks a god damn beer? Insane.

Was pretty cold walking back from the arena last night.

[Antares]

Got some wet snow on October 30 and getting some more right now, but it's light and will be gone soon enough. Much earlier than last year though for first snows.

[stuffradio]

Wet

gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png

[Hawk]

The model ensembles are going for at least 6" or 150 mm of rain over the next 16 days.

gfs-ens_apcpn_us_64.png
gem-ens_apcpn_us_64.png

Ahaha. Nito approved. Buy another Umbrella Nito!!

[Canada Goose]

Wet
gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png

That's what we need and, as everyone knows, November is our wettest month. The 2014-2022 monthly average in Coquitlam-Burke Mountain is 423.4 mm.
2023 is still a very, very dry year so far...

[SouthSardiswx]

O.k. now l've seen it all.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/01/china/ch ... index.html

[Hawk]

Very rainy in Langley overnight and still coming down quite heavy

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (3).png

00z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (4).png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (5).png

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20231102132956-af56991aa003bf250c3e7575b3b370a27cb119c3.png

20231102132932-2f080676ca7cf4c1ac44c9c7c8fdf60d4fe8713c.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Absolutely terrible driving conditions from Abbs to Chilliwack lots of spray not always a good idea to pass dump trucks and semis.
20.3mm since midnight @ the pond in south Sardis its currently 7c and moderate rain.