February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

It's kinda weird right now, the euro keeps tripling down on a decent sized snowfall on Friday, but the HRDPS, NAM etc. aren't showing much of anything. I don't count the GFS it has a history of donking out in these situations...however the fact the Euro is with it is very interesting. Seems unlikely but maybe its sniffing something out?

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-9467200.png

Absolute garbage... 30cm+ for Tofino?

[PortKells]

I'll eat yellow snow if Port Renfrew sees 40cm of snow.

Ok, OBVIOUSLY you shouldn't take the exact amounts from that map as much as the general message its selling that there will be a snowfall at all, probably one that can produce up to 10cm in spots. Which is in contrast with the other models (other than the GFS)

[PortKells]

Absolute garbage... 30cm+ for Tofino?

It's the top performing model, I figured people might be interested in seeing it.

[wetcoast91]

It's the top performing model, I figured people might be interested in seeing it.

I want to see maps.

Friday!

[wetcoast91]

Borrowed from Jim. Snow tomorrow night?

[SouthSardiswx]

It's the top performing model, I figured people might be interested in seeing it.

The main theme of snow potential resonates with me Kells.

[Weather101]

On an interesting note, wicked cold front out east. Ottawa from +16 to -13 in 8 hours.

[PortKells]

I want to see maps.

Friday!

There does seem to be potential;

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-lightning_density_last6-9251200.png

[Storm]

925mb is taking a beating.

925mb.gif

[tyweather]

Back to snow on Cypress. 5 cm so far.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

It's the top performing model, I figured people might be interested in seeing it.

Its limited resolution gives it real issues with terrain bleed in our locale. If no high res short term model shows anything in the lowlands, I say throw it out.

Remember, the Euro called for a big dump Tuesday night. NAM 3km said a few slushy cm. Which was right?

[wetcoast91]

Its limited resolution gives it real issues with terrain bleed in our locale. If no high res short term model shows anything in the lowlands, I say throw it out.

Remember, the Euro called for a big dump Tuesday night. NAM 3km said a few slushy cm. Which was right?

I actually think the Euro will verify in that the coastal regions will be impacted most. The coldest air aloft and heaviest showers will remain near the coast.

[Hawk]

Look at that instability..whoa
So Nito is saying the high hills of Westside Van will score? I remember once way back..forecast similar to this one. Low formed in the unstable airmass...and stalled near Victoria..dumped about 30cms in Kerrisdale. Must have been around 2000. Amazing HUGE fluffy flakes for hours

[Hawk]

Sounds like Nito is going for 5 to 10cms in localized areas due to some powerful instability
#teamNito

[PortKells]

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