April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Looks like they have determined there is not a tsunami threat on the BC coast from the Taiwan earthquake

Code: Select all

WEAK53 PAAQ 030055
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 2
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
555 PM PDT Tue Apr 2 2024

UPDATES
-------
 * Updated observations
 * Revised forecast information


...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
   COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
 * There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British 
   Columbia, or Alaska. 

 * Some of the areas listed above may experience non-damaging 
   sea level changes. 

 * Sea level observations indicate a tsunami was generated. 


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

 * The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
   assessment of the earthquake and changes may occur.

 * Magnitude      7.5
 * Origin Time    1558 AKDT Apr 02 2024
                  1658  PDT Apr 02 2024
                  2358  UTC Apr 02 2024
 * Coordinates    23.8 North 121.7 East
 * Depth          7 miles
 * Location       near Taiwan


OBSERVATIONS OF TSUNAMI ACTIVITY - UPDATED
------------------------------------------
 * Observed max tsunami height is the highest recorded water level
   above the tide level up to the time of this message.

                                  TIME               OBSERVED MAX
 SITE                         OF MEASUREMENT         TSUNAMI HEIGHT
 ---------------------------- ----------------       --------------
 Ishigakijima  Japan          1729  PDT Apr  2           0.5ft


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
 * Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information. 

 * Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington, 
   British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami 
   Warning Center messages at tsunami.gov. 

 * This will be the final U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center 
   message issued for this event unless additional information 
   becomes available. 

$$
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



----------------------------------------------------
20240403133908-10d05965b747d7bac9df8840062b0f9a8f5a8b46.png
20240403133849-b0fc573e1b1a9fe0855be42b8fd8e981ee140c9e.png
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by stuffradio »

The models have some nice days here. Yesterday one of the model runs even had a high of 21C on one of the days.
gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-2210400.png
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Weather101 »

stuffradio wrote: Thu Apr 04, 2024 5:46 am The models have some nice days here. Yesterday one of the model runs even had a high of 21C on one of the days.
gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-2210400.png
Not bad
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Hawk »

Mountains looked nice this pm with spring snow showers falling :flakey: :flakey:
:thumbup:
MAYDAY MAYDAY! We need some warm sunny weather this month. Some showers mixed in would be good too :thumbup:
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

This evening's amazing sunset from my work in Abbs down near Sumas. We reached a high of 12c
20240404_194814.jpg
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by stuffradio »

Mag 4.8 earthquake on the east coast.
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Catnip »

Latest CANSIPS for next fall/winter.

:chilly: :15arrow2left: :15arrow2left: :15arrow2left:

:sweat: :15arrow2right: :15arrow2right: :15arrow2right:

:thumbup: :silent: :shh:
oct.png
nov.png
dec.png
jan.png
feb.png
mar.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

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2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Fri Apr 05, 2024 11:51 am Latest CANSIPS for next fall/winter.

:chilly: :15arrow2left: :15arrow2left: :15arrow2left:

:sweat: :15arrow2right: :15arrow2right: :15arrow2right:

:thumbup: :silent: :shh:

oct.png
nov.png
dec.png
jan.png
feb.png
mar.png
Only 5300 hours away!
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Apr 05, 2024 12:07 pm Only 5300 hours away!
Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Apr 05, 2024 12:07 pm Only 5300 hours away!
But Abbotsford will be in the donut hole again.
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Weather101 »

:shock:
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by wetcoast91 »

Continued chilly troughing. Snow levels look quite low by Friday/Saturday.

12Z GFS event showed some :flakey: by early Sat AM.

Still not seeing any warm extremes in the forecast.
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Apr 06, 2024 2:07 pm Continued chilly troughing. Snow levels look quite low by Friday/Saturday.

12Z GFS event showed some :flakey: by early Sat AM.

Still not seeing any warm extremes in the forecast.
All the tree/plant buds coming out earlier than usual this spring won't like the sound of that.
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Re: April 2024 Forecasts and discussion

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Apr 06, 2024 2:51 pm All the tree/plant buds coming out earlier than usual this spring won't like the sound of that.
Whoa Typer when did you get upgraded to Weather Psycho tier?
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
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