September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Some serious blocking in the long range on the 00z. Early season snow or freeze on the prairies?
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:00 pm Some serious blocking in the long range on the 00z. Early season snow or freeze on the prairies?
Image
Nice to see so early on but hopefully it doesn't ruin our winter though I doubt it will. I have good feelings for our winter. :thumbup:
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:09 pm Nice to see so early on but hopefully it doesn't ruin our winter though I doubt it will. I have good feelings for our winter. :thumbup:
Seeing blocking show up this early with cold air intrusions into the continent is nothing but a positive sign for the upcoming months.

I'm not an expert and don't know how strong the correlation is but low solar periods tend to produce stronger blocking which favours cold snaps to lock in for long periods of time. This past Feb is a prime example.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 02, 2019 11:31 pm Seeing blocking show up this early with cold air intrusions into the continent is nothing but a positive sign for the upcoming months.

I'm not an expert and don't know how strong the correlation is but low solar periods tend to produce stronger blocking which favours cold snaps to lock in for long periods of time. This past Feb is a prime example.
I'm hoping we see a pattern lock similar to December 2008, but in January. :D :clap:
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The ensemble mean for ENSO 3.4 monthly is in weak Nino territory by next April, otherwise, it's neutral until April next year.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Summer was warmer than average in Vancouver. Colder than average in Prince George though.

IMG_20190903_115930.jpg

Warmest on record in much of Alaska including Anchorage...


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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Atmosphere is looking a bit bubbly as that weak low spins into the central island today.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 03, 2019 12:25 pm Atmosphere is looking a bit bubbly as that weak low spins into the central island today.
EC says risk of a thunderstorm. Lots of instability but I don't really see any cold front coming in to trigger any storms. :?
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Very thunder stormy in Duncan now.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Sep 03, 2019 3:24 pm Very thunder stormy in Duncan now.
Oh baby! just had a quick thunder shower in south Sardis, we are right on the edge mostly clear to my west thundery to my east 26c and humid.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Damn.. we just had a drive by shooting a couple houses down from mine. 1 person got shot.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hound wrote: ↑Tue Sep 03, 2019 6:02 pm Damn.. we just had a drive by shooting a couple houses down from mine. 1 person got shot.
160th & 111 Ave
Stay low Hound man scary indeed the amount of crime in the Lower mainland and Fraser valley.
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Hound wrote: ↑Tue Sep 03, 2019 6:02 pm Damn.. we just had a drive by shooting a couple houses down from mine. 1 person got shot.
160th & 111 Ave
Thats awful, sorry to hear. Stay safe. :cry:
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Why can't Abbotsford ever get lightning like this? :cry: I saw a storm exactly like that when I was in Orlando Florida a couple years ago. it was so cool. 8-) :D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q6JHV3r1I6I
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Re: September 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Heard a couple of mild rumbles at alpha lake ,no lightning, and a brief shower.
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