October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:50 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:48 pm 18z showing a freeze Tuesday night/Wednesday morning for the Fraser Valley along with E Metro Van. 850mb temps dropping close to -5C.

Yup T3 whoever called for a freeze by Oct. 9th should stand and take a bow my friend you called it like 10 day's ago

was that stuffy or you T3?

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:56 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:50 pm Yup T3 whoever called for a freeze by Oct. 9th should stand and take a bow my friend you called it like 10 day's ago was that stuffy or you T3?

That was me last Sunday.

GFS looks to have nailed this nearly 2 weeks out.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:59 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:56 pm That was me last Sunday.

GFS looks to have nailed this nearly 2 weeks out.

Ah good job T3, that was my next question what's this Legacy GFS model is that the one last year that was called CVS or whatever, I don't check models during the summer months and just started looking this week when I noticed that model.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 5:44 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:56 pm That was me last Sunday.

GFS looks to have nailed this nearly 2 weeks out.

Maybe the GFS is actually improved?

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 6:40 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:59 pm Ah good job T3, that was my next question what's this Legacy GFS model is that the one last year that was called CVS or whatever, I don't check models during the summer months and just started looking this week when I noticed that model.

The legacy is the old GFS. They upgraded the model a while back but kept the old one under "legacy"

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 6:42 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 5:44 pm Maybe the GFS is actually improved?

Looks to be performing better than the Euro as of late.

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 7:48 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 6:42 pm Looks to be performing better than the Euro as of late.

That's nice.

Post by **Abby_wx** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 7:50 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 4:48 pm 18z showing a freeze Tuesday night/Wednesday morning for the Fraser Valley along with E Metro Van. 850mb temps dropping close to -5C.

Valley likely wouldn't freeze until overnight Wednesday due to the wind. Assuming the clouds hold off early Thursday, sheltered areas of GVR and the island could see back-to-back freezes.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 9:01 pm

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 7:50 pm Valley likely wouldn't freeze until overnight Wednesday due to the wind. Assuming the clouds hold off early Thursday, sheltered areas of GVR and the island could see back-to-back freezes.

Likely, but perhaps not. 00z is even colder for Tuesday night!

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 9:06 pm

Could see highs only around 10C on both Tuesday and Wed. Under full sunshine on Wednesday that would be pretty ridiculous considering its only early October.

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 9:28 pm

Yep gonna freeze this week. Could be impressively cold in some spots.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 9:53 pm

Pattern change in the long range. Aleutian low makes a comeback with strong zonal and SW flow for the PNW.

Forrest Gump · Post by **Forrest Gump** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 10:02 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 9:53 pm Pattern change in the long range. Aleutian low makes a comeback with strong zonal and SW flow for the PNW.

Just in time for winter

No pattern change yet in canucksville.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:12 pm

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 10:02 pm Just in time for winter
No pattern change yet in canucksville.

So is the no.1 draft any good this year.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Sat Oct 05, 2019 11:14 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 05, 2019 9:53 pm Pattern change in the long range. Aleutian low makes a comeback with strong zonal and SW flow for the PNW.

So Nito should make an appearance then.

October 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

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