October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by tyweather » Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:22 pm

The Minnekada fire is out of control today and grew from 1 ha to 11 ha.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british- ... -1.6603686

I was on Seymour on Friday for a hike with my family and I rode down the mountain bike trails afterwards. Gorgeous day up there. We also saw a bear and we apparently walked by pretty close without knowing it. There was a couple behind us and their dog chased it up the rocks and then the bear came running back. Scary! The bear backed off thankfully. Walk your dogs on leash people.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx » Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:34 pm

tyweather wrote:
Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:22 pm
The Minnekada fire is out of control today and grew from 1 ha to 11 ha

I was on Seymour on Friday for a hike with my family and I rode down the mountain bike trails afterwards. Gorgeous day up there. We also saw a bear and we apparently walked by pretty close without knowing it. There was a couple behind us and their dog chased it up the rocks and then the bear came running back. Scary! The bear backed off thankfully. Walk your dogs on leash people.
That's absolutely insane Havebikewillrunfrombear man. Glad the end result was good and family was o.k.
Awesome pics today from Ty my man and Rubes thanks for sharing.👍
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx » Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:36 pm

Typeing3 wrote:
Sun Oct 02, 2022 9:05 pm
Sardine's asleep at the wheel! :lol:
:oops: yah, think l dozed off and missed it. :D
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx » Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:37 pm

Roberts Creeker wrote:
Sun Oct 02, 2022 9:21 pm
29.0 :o :shock: :o Wow!!! We got all the way up to 23.6 c in Sechelt which made for a very pleasant late August day!

I'm loving all this dry weather. I feel for the people who can't water outside but I've decided/come to realize that it's not going any more likely to rain if I feel bad about enjoying the dry weather so why not enjoy it. Last winter was soooo very wet, I remembered why I didn't like winter, the previous ones had been drier so it wasn't as bad.
Surprised no heat warning for the central valley. :wtf:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 » Mon Oct 03, 2022 2:18 am

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (39).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (40).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (41).png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 » Mon Oct 03, 2022 2:20 am

20221003091938-e5cf676c2b1c1efee25d2d1c170c856118206d70.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx » Mon Oct 03, 2022 2:30 am

Typeing3 wrote:
Mon Oct 03, 2022 2:18 am
Geesh Tdry, the heat goes on the precip continues to be kicked down the road.
The pumpkin 🎃 crop is thriving in this ridiculously resilient heat hump.
However l worry the Christmas 🎄 tree crop may suffer this season. :x :cryhard:
christmas-tree-charlie-brown.gif
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip » Mon Oct 03, 2022 6:03 am

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB

2021-2022 Snowfall - 89.5cm

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack » Mon Oct 03, 2022 10:27 am

tyweather wrote:
Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:22 pm
The Minnekada fire is out of control today and grew from 1 ha to 11 ha.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british- ... -1.6603686

I was on Seymour on Friday for a hike with my family and I rode down the mountain bike trails afterwards. Gorgeous day up there. We also saw a bear and we apparently walked by pretty close without knowing it. There was a couple behind us and their dog chased it up the rocks and then the bear came running back. Scary! The bear backed off thankfully. Walk your dogs on leash people.

Scary! We have loads of bears around our place. We get to know them and we both respect each other. However when we go hiking we always carry an air horn and bear spray as added peace of mind case of an aggressive encounter. One day the mother and her two cubs came right up to our window to check us out. Just caught a video of them leaving
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Cloverdale » Mon Oct 03, 2022 12:28 pm

No bears at mount Baker last Saturday, just hordes of people. Cannot remember the last time I hiked in shorts and a T-shirt in October at 1950 meters and it was like 25 degrees. Only slight smoke out that way but you could see it bubble up over Chilliwack and outflow down the valley.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr » Mon Oct 03, 2022 1:22 pm

East Chilliwack wrote:
Mon Oct 03, 2022 10:27 am
Scary! We have loads of bears around our place. We get to know them and we both respect each other. However when we go hiking we always carry an air horn and bear spray as added peace of mind case of an aggressive encounter. One day the mother and her two cubs came right up to our window to check us out. Just caught a video of them leaving
We live in Central Abbotsford so bears are not a common occurrence here. However, there has been at least one bear spotted on several occasions on a trail where we walk our dog. In fact, my mom saw it back in July and came within around 25 feet from it. Thankfully, it turned around and ran the other direction. But from our experience, it’s unusual to have bears in this part of the city. That said, for now we are taking a break from the trail. The bear was spotted again several times recently so it’s obviously still in the area. Usually black bears are harmless but we are not wanting to take the risk of an aggressive encounter.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Mon Oct 03, 2022 3:40 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by stuffradio » Mon Oct 03, 2022 2:56 pm

I grew up in Maple Ridge, and in our area, we have had an ever increasing problem with bears the last 10-15 years. I'm not living there right now but I still have family there. I have had many bear encounters including running into bears that were only about 5 feet in front of me. For example there was a time I was picking berries on our property and I was crouched picking the berries with my dog. I think I heard a noise so I stood up and as I started standing and looking over the bush, there was a bear right there doing the same thing. I had a bear banger in my pocket just because of the bears, so I loaded it, fired it off and ran the opposite direction as the bear was running away as well. I've also had several run ins with bears while running, etc.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 » Mon Oct 03, 2022 3:01 pm

:alert:
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Note: Also crossposted in the "Weather Stats" pages section.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 » Mon Oct 03, 2022 3:03 pm

:alert:
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Note: Also crossposted in the "Weather Stats" pages section.
Edit: Second source should read "1945-2022".
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 » Mon Oct 03, 2022 3:31 pm

There's no end in sight. I didnt even post the temperature outlook as its obviously way warmer than normal. No rain until November or maybe the last week of October. My guess cuz that's what happened in 2002 and 1987 with similar patterns.
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