January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:46 am I'm still not buying this model collapse.

Makes no sense we don't score something good in a phase 7 MJO.

Apart from minor changes to the timing, the EPS remains consistent.

At this point I'd still expect other models to cave to it.

While I could be wrong, I still trust the EPS.
Ok Donald Trump. You lost the election already..CMON!!!
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Can someone please repost my "its over" GIF from days ago.
Thanks.
I'm on limited wifi.
TELL EM NITOOOOOOO!!
:failrock:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:01 pm 18Z GFS scores backdoor. :clap:
:shock:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:37 pm:shock:
l thought the 18Z was the drunckle model. :drunk:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:44 pm Outlier. It's over. I accept defeat. Winter cancel. The bears are about to wake up from hibernation. Time for a bike ride. :D :clap:
It's always time for a bike ride
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

18z ensembles ain’t too shabby either :think:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Well the models do seem fitting since ground hog day is around the corner. Repeat over and over.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:30 pm Can someone please repost my "its over" GIF from days ago.
Thanks.
I'm on limited wifi.
TELL EM NITOOOOOOO!!
:failrock:
No. But in preparation for tonight’s 0z I give you this

Image
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

45-60cm of snow forecast to fall across new york city tomorrow. :o
https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status ... 0994129920
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:34 pm 45-60cm of snow forecast to fall across new york city tomorrow. :o
https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status ... 0994129920
Seems so easy for them sometimes, always a struggle here.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

18Z GFS was dry but insane outflow winds modelled. :shock: :o :shock:

Most likely won't verify but its nice to see the colder solutions return. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:21 pm 18Z GFS was dry but insane outflow winds modelled. :shock: :o :shock:

Most likely won't verify but its nice to see the colder solutions return. :thumbup:
Last few runs along with the euro show some moisture sneaking south out of the GOA at times in clipper type systems. Although if that ridge sets up a few hundred miles to the East it would be like Feb 2015. Dry, foggy and boring. Athough you're right once the real cold air gets here in that 18z run it's dry as a bone with the cut off low off of California . That won't touch us so we'd be high and dry but cold and clear. I'm good with that!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:30 pm Last few runs along with the euro show some moisture sneaking south out of the GOA at times in clipper type systems. Although if that ridge sets up a few hundred miles to the East it would be like Feb 2015. Dry, foggy and boring. Athough you're right once the real cold air gets here in that 18z run it's dry as a bone with the cut off low off of California . That won't touch us so we'd be high and dry but cold and clear. I'm good with that!
Thanks for your once in a blue moon read C79 man. Spectacular and indepth always enjoy them:thumbup:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:34 pm 45-60cm of snow forecast to fall across new york city tomorrow. :o
https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status ... 0994129920
Image
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