April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:55 am I think you're confusing that with May 2015 which was the driest May on record across much of the south coast.
And extremely hot as l recall, T3 and of course the smoke later that summer was insane. l guess l'm only recalling the sunny day's in May 2016. Since my birthday is in May it's usually pleasant. :D
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Apr 21, 2021 8:17 am And extremely hot as l recall, T3 and of course the smoke later that summer was insane. l guess l'm only recalling the sunny day's in May 2016. Since my birthday is in May it's usually pleasant. :D
And yet May long weekend has an absolutely wretched reputation of being cloudy and drizzly.
Side note, It is really strange how often our few intervals of summer rain have come on weekends the last few years. There was a blazing hot summer, possibly 2017 or 18 where somehow we got some rain on most weekends with scorched earth on almost all week days. Sucked for how much time I spent walking on pavement in my old job!
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:55 am I think you're confusing that with May 2015 which was the driest May on record across much of the south coast.
I remember June 2015. **** that month.
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

:lol: :lol:
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Wed Apr 21, 2021 5:03 pm :lol: :lol:

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:wtf:
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed Apr 21, 2021 8:59 pm:wtf:
Going to have to laugh at my Edmonton friends. That is some ruthless April 28 cold.
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

|Good work again GooseMan du France :clap:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Quite wet upcoming. Hopefully we can get periods of sunshine in there.
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Allergies attack!! Wow, I've never had my allergies this bad in April! Anyone else notice this insane pollen everywhere?
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

PortKells wrote: Thu Apr 22, 2021 8:03 pm Quite wet upcoming. Hopefully we can get periods of sunshine in there.

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The big ridge will rebuild after 10 days or so, plus that rain is overdone.
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

:shrug:
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Hound wrote: Thu Apr 22, 2021 10:19 pm Allergies attack!! Wow, I've never had my allergies this bad in April! Anyone else notice this insane pollen everywhere?
This is probably the least affected I've been here compared to the past few years. 2019 was bad though.

Maybe I have to wait? :think:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Apr 23, 2021 6:55 am :shrug:
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Models are confused, the MJO is way stronger than normal for this time of year and it's locked into Zone 7 in the western Pacific so that might be throwing the long range models for a loop plus there's a rare strong April typhoon in there too. My guess is the trend of ridge ridge ridge will continue soon after a week or 2 of showery, variable weather. This is copied from the CPC discussion (6-10, 8-14 day) yesterday:
"A strong Western Pacific MJO event (Phase 7 in the Wheeler-Hendon classification) is currently ongoing, which is likely to influence the overall pattern during the outlook period. A composite from past strong (defined in this case as a MJO index amplitude greater than 1.0) Phase 7 MJO events this time of year generally correspond with troughing across the Great Lakes and ridging over much of the western CONUS"
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Fri Apr 23, 2021 9:10 am Models are confused, the MJO is way stronger than normal for this time of year and it's locked into Zone 7 in the western Pacific so that might be throwing the long range models for a loop plus there's a rare strong April typhoon in there too. My guess is the trend of ridge ridge ridge will continue soon after a week or 2 of showery, variable weather. This is copied from the CPC discussion (6-10, 8-14 day) yesterday:
"A strong Western Pacific MJO event (Phase 7 in the Wheeler-Hendon classification) is currently ongoing, which is likely to influence the overall pattern during the outlook period. A composite from past strong (defined in this case as a MJO index amplitude greater than 1.0) Phase 7 MJO events this time of year generally correspond with troughing across the Great Lakes and ridging over much of the western CONUS"
Definitely wayover my head but I'm happy to get some rain followed by ridging as long as none of these patterns persist for more than a couple weeks.
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Re: April 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Fri Apr 23, 2021 9:10 am Models are confused, the MJO is way stronger than normal for this time of year and it's locked into Zone 7 in the western Pacific so that might be throwing the long range models for a loop plus there's a rare strong April typhoon in there too. My guess is the trend of ridge ridge ridge will continue soon after a week or 2 of showery, variable weather. This is copied from the CPC discussion (6-10, 8-14 day) yesterday:
"A strong Western Pacific MJO event (Phase 7 in the Wheeler-Hendon classification) is currently ongoing, which is likely to influence the overall pattern during the outlook period. A composite from past strong (defined in this case as a MJO index amplitude greater than 1.0) Phase 7 MJO events this time of year generally correspond with troughing across the Great Lakes and ridging over much of the western CONUS"
Dammm..this C79 guy is legit :clap: :clap:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
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