June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Coquitlam79
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Coquitlam79 »

YVR
Sat: 30c
Sun: 20c/32c
Mon: 21c/34c

YXX
Sat: 20c/37c
Sun: 21c/40c
Mon: 22c/41c

YYJ
Sat: 17c/32c
Sun: 19c/36c
Mon: 20c/36c

YKA
Sat: 20c/38c
Sun: 22c/41c
Mon: 23c/43c
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Canada Goose »

I only go with the Txx: 46.4°C in Lytton or Ashcroft.
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Glacier »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:07 am Put your picks in for Sunday and Monday for fun!
okay, I haven't looked at today's lows or at the models, and I'm disqualified so what the heck...

YVR:

Sat: 19/32
Sun: 21/32
Mon: 21/30

YXX:

Sat: 20/39
Sun: 22/40.5
Mon: 21/39

YYJ:

Sat: 19/37
Sun: 20/38
Mon: 19/37

YKA:

Sat: 19/38
Sun: 21/41.5
Mon: 23.6/42.3

Hottest place in BC: Spences Bridge 46.2 (but no one is there to record it)
2nd hottest place in BC: Lillooet 45.3
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jun 26, 2021 12:12 am I thought Glacier and Hound would have definitely got their picks in. Too bad Monty and Abby_wx didn’t. Catnip doesn’t post much during the summer. :|
The winter's take alot out of Monty l think he needs to recover in the summer to re charge for next winter's disasters called failed. :lol:
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by VanCitySouth »

Looking at this, I lowballed my guesses so badly...
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Roberts Creeker »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Jun 27, 2021 5:51 pm Looking at this, I lowballed my guesses so badly...
Yes, I never thought it would exceed expectations so enthusiastically. :shock:
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Canada Goose »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:41 am I only go with the Txx: 46.4°C in Lytton or Ashcroft.
Hey... not bad so far. 8-)
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Canada Goose wrote: Sun Jun 27, 2021 8:42 pm Hey... not bad so far. 8-)
Not so fast Gooseman :cops: there's still tomorrow.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by SouthSardiswx »

I feel we were all winners for the temperatures 🌡we've experienced this weekend. :thumbup: :clap:
good job everyone.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Bonovox
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Bonovox »

I haven't been able to "stomach" scoring this yet. I will get to it though.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Delta (Sunshine Hills) - Elevation: 280 feet

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 9:32 pm I haven't been able to "stomach" scoring this yet. I will get to it though.
No worries Bonorman, most members are burnt out right now.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Bonovox »

Okay! So, I did a preliminary scoring of the heatwave contest. So far, I only did those posters who got their picks in on Friday night for all 4 locations. Those users were Bonovox, VanCitySouth, Typeing3, AbbyJr, Roberts Creeker and Leighbugs.

I used this Environment Canada's historical weather site to score: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/historica ... ata_e.html

Using that site, these were the highs and lows:

YVR
32/18
31/19
32/20

YXX
40/18
42/21
43/22

YYJ
36/17
38/21
39/21

YKA
41/18
44/19
46/21

Finally, I marked the deviations from those temperatures for each user for each day:

VanCitySouth: 47
4,2,0
5,3,2
4,5,10
3,4,5

Typeing3: 54
5,2,2
5,5,6
4,5,4
4,6,6

AbbyJr: 98
5,3,4
10,8,9
9,8,10
11,11,10

Roberts Creeker: 50
4,2,0
6,3,2
4,6,5
6,6,6

Leighbugs: 52
2,4,5
4,2,1
6,8,6
4,6,4

Bonovox: 43
4,1,2
3,0,3
5,7,3
5,4,6
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Delta (Sunshine Hills) - Elevation: 280 feet

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by Bonovox »

With that said, Bonovox was the closest with the lowest deviation from the actual temps. Yay me! :lol:

I probably screwed this up in some way, so feel free to look into the data and rescore, but I tried to be as diligent as possible while fending off a 4 and 3 year old.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Delta (Sunshine Hills) - Elevation: 280 feet

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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VanCitySouth
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by VanCitySouth »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Jul 06, 2021 2:23 pm With that said, Bonovox was the closest with the lowest deviation from the actual temps. Yay me! :lol:

I probably screwed this up in some way, so feel free to look into the data and rescore, but I tried to be as diligent as possible while fending off a 4 and 3 year old.
Thanks Bono. I'll happily take second. That 10 on Victoria's Monday really screwed me over eh? I thought the marine push would get to them a whole day before us. So wrong.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: June 2021 Heatwave Contest!

Post by VanCitySouth »

I also came up with EC 52 and TWN 55 for the record.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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