July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

00Z GFS takes any chances of showers away this weekend and next week's soaker is barely that. The interior gets shafted too. :tiredos:
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Bonovox
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The 00Z GEM is good and bad. It continues the trend of weakening any chances of showers this weekend, but it looks better next week for a region wide rain event.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bluefudge »

Certainly nothing official of course but in 2012 at my place here in Chilliwack I recorded 8 mm of rain in 80 days up until October 12 when we had 8.4 mm.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Now the picture is becoming clearer.

GEM july 29th.png
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PortKells
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 10:58 pm The 00Z GEM is good and bad. It continues the trend of weakening any chances of showers this weekend, but it looks better next week for a region wide rain event.
I'd take that one and run. The showers seemed dubious anyways. Right off the back of a significant heatwave? I haven't seen that in a long time.
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Bonovox
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 11:16 pm I'd take that one and run. The showers seemed dubious anyways. Right off the back of a significant heatwave? I haven't seen that in a long time.
I feel like things are going to just get watered down as we get closer.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Trough is digging closer to the coast on the 00Z Euro. :think:

Edit: Definitely taking a step towards the GEM/GFS.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 11:36 pm Trough is digging closer to the coast on the 00Z Euro. :think:

Edit: Definitely taking a step towards the GEM/GFS.
That's a bit of a relief. The EPS earlier was pretty concerning. We'll see if the ensemble holds up.
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Bonovox
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Nice improvements on the 00Z Euro for next week.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 11:13 pm Now the picture is becoming clearer.


GEM july 29th.png
That does really clear things up :lol: :lol:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 11:28 pm I feel like things are going to just get watered down as we get closer.
Just like a good snowstorm. Thank you for posting all the maps....especially the good ones :lol: :lol:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 11:28 pm I feel like things are going to just get watered down as we get closer.
Or should that be dewatered down?
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

2 coniferous trees in the yard are lost...intense heat stripped the outer bark on one of them.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 30, 2021 8:28 am 2 coniferous trees in the yard are lost...intense heat stripped the outer bark on one of them.
:damn: :damn:
Let's hope this April brings some ~24c sunny days. Yesssss :hearteyes: :hearteyes:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

2018 was the worse fire season ever. How does this year compare to that year on the same date? Here you go...
compare2018to2021.png
areaburned2.png
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