September Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12112
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 20203 times
Been thanked: 22652 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 8:05 am Interesting how since around 1985 the trend has been downward with precip amounts ~40-50% less. In that same time period, much less snow with a downward trend as well :think: :think:
Could these be related > Less precip in summers and milder/less snow in winter?
Nito? Monty? Goose? C79? Bono? Anyone? :wave:
The rolling average for June-September precip was just as low in the late 40s thru the 50s (when we had some big snow years) as it is in the present-day. Which makes me think there isn't much of a correlation.

I posted similar graphs for Vancouver a while back, check the stats thread if you're interested. :thumbup:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
Coquitlam79
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 446
Joined: Sun May 05, 2019 6:48 pm
Location: Pipeline road near town centre park, Coquitlam
Has thanked: 70 times
Been thanked: 974 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 1:15 am Not just early season. 50.9mm at YVR is fairly impressive for any rainstorm, even in November. I counted 59 of the 84 years at YVR, there were no days with over 50mm of rain.
Some of the highest historical precip events in SW BC have been earlier in the season including the Thanksgiving weekend 1984, Labor day weekend 1991, Oct 16-18 1993 (Oct 16 all time record for yvr) mid October 2012, August 29, 2015, Aug 31 2010, Sept 18, 2004 and now Sept 17 2021. Some of those were one day wonders but not the labor day weekend stom of 1991 which caused severe flooding in the Sea to Sky as did the Thanksgiving weekend storm in 1984 that flooded the Pemberton Valley. These early season events often have old typhoon moisture embedded and can have higher precip rates per hr then a mid-winter AR. That's why some of the worst flooding is early in the season and that's crazy considering it occurs without a snowpack to melt and with the rivers and creeks starting off low.
Bluefudge
Casual Observer
Casual Observer
Posts: 14
Joined: Thu Jul 01, 2021 6:46 pm
Location: Chilliwack
Elevation: 90 feet
Has thanked: 8 times
Been thanked: 44 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bluefudge »

Unfortunately in heavy downpours my Vantage Pro 2 rain gauge lags behind other gauges. With that my total up until present is an even 79 mm but with my CoCoRaHS rain gauge I measured 91.8 mm.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12112
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 20203 times
Been thanked: 22652 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 2:40 pm Some of the highest historical precip events in SW BC have been earlier in the season including the Thanksgiving weekend 1984, Labor day weekend 1991, Oct 16-18 1993 (Oct 16 all time record for yvr) mid October 2012, August 29, 2015, Aug 31 2010, Sept 18, 2004 and now Sept 17 2021. Some of those were one day wonders but not the labor day weekend stom of 1991 which caused severe flooding in the Sea to Sky as did the Thanksgiving weekend storm in 1984 that flooded the Pemberton Valley. These early season events often have old typhoon moisture embedded and can have higher precip rates per hr then a mid-winter AR. That's why some of the worst flooding is early in the season and that's crazy considering it occurs without a snowpack to melt and with the rivers and creeks starting off low.
Don't forget about the event in September 2010 as well.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6391
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 554 times
Been thanked: 11029 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Had two thunder claps to my east about an hour ago.
User avatar
Forrest Gump
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4324
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:11 pm
Location: South Surrey/White Rock
Elevation: 377 Ft. or 115 M
Has thanked: 12247 times
Been thanked: 7910 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

PortKells wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 4:03 pm Had two thunder claps to my east about an hour ago.
:arrow: :clap: :clap:
Gumperoni 43cm
Sardineski 47cm
User avatar
Canada Goose
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2209
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 12:41 pm
Location: Port Coquitlam (Downtown) - Banana Belt
Elevation: 11 m
Has thanked: 741 times
Been thanked: 4551 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 2:40 pm Some of the highest historical precip events in SW BC have been earlier in the season including the Thanksgiving weekend 1984, Labor day weekend 1991, Oct 16-18 1993 (Oct 16 all time record for yvr) mid October 2012, August 29, 2015, Aug 31 2010, Sept 18, 2004 and now Sept 17 2021. Some of those were one day wonders but not the labor day weekend stom of 1991 which caused severe flooding in the Sea to Sky as did the Thanksgiving weekend storm in 1984 that flooded the Pemberton Valley. These early season events often have old typhoon moisture embedded and can have higher precip rates per hr then a mid-winter AR. That's why some of the worst flooding is early in the season and that's crazy considering it occurs without a snowpack to melt and with the rivers and creeks starting off low.
Oct. 2003, not 1993.

The 85.0 mm on Oct. 16, 2003 is a monthly record only. We have 89.4 mm on Dec. 25, 1972 and 91.6 mm on Sept. 18, 2004 (this one was a big thunderstorm, not an AR).
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12112
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 20203 times
Been thanked: 22652 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 4:54 pm Oct. 2003, not 1993.

The 85.0 mm on Oct. 16, 2003 is a monthly record only. We have 89.4 mm on Dec. 25, 1972 and 91.6 mm on Sept. 18, 2004 (this one was a big thunderstorm, not an AR).
January 1935 was worse. Huge rainfall totals over a 24, 48, 72 and 96 hour period. Massive ice storm, and rain after things warmed up a touch.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5304
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 9572 times
Been thanked: 9247 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 4:54 pm Oct. 2003, not 1993.

The 85.0 mm on Oct. 16, 2003 is a monthly record only. We have 89.4 mm on Dec. 25, 1972 and 91.6 mm on Sept. 18, 2004 (this one was a big thunderstorm, not an AR).
October 2003 was one of the most intense AR events to hit the region. Widespread flooding and non-existent rain shadow.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12112
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 20203 times
Been thanked: 22652 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:29 pm October 2003 was one of the most intense AR events to hit the region. Widespread flooding and non-existent rain shadow.
Check out the totals for the January 1935 event. :thumbup:

Puts even October 2003 to shame, imo.

Here's the data for the old Stave Falls station from back then : https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 35&Month=1#
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4439
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 27758 times
Been thanked: 9444 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

Parents reporting a nice thunderstorm in Sardis right now.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6391
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 554 times
Been thanked: 11029 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hound wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:59 pm Parents reporting a nice thunderstorm in Sardis right now.
I think our friend had some bad fettuccine..
User avatar
LadnerWeather
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 408
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:13 pm
Location: Tsawwassen
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 983 times
Been thanked: 1004 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Hound wrote: Sat Sep 18, 2021 5:59 pm Parents reporting a nice thunderstorm in Sardis right now.
Thunderstorm in Ladner right now too
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6391
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 554 times
Been thanked: 11029 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Here we gooooo :clap: :clap: :thumbup:
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5932
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 5851 times
Been thanked: 13336 times

Re: September Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

dont you just love September?
Post Reply