October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Antares
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Antares »

PortKells wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 9:56 pm Ok..that's insane. I think he could be one of those meteorologists who let's his own weather preferences slightly cloud his judgement. I do hope he's right of course.
He's the Jim/SnowWizard of Oregon.

At least he didn't mention 1968/69 or 1949/1950. :whistley: :whistley: :whistley:

-5C here under clear skies at the moment. :clap:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 9:47 pm Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the "Oregon Department of Forestry" in his winter forecast update maintains 1970/71, 1996/97, and 2008/09 as the best analogs for this upcoming winter. Would certainly be epic if it verified. :thumbup: :D

Here is his updated winter forecast video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HQn-rEmE_M
All three are second year Nina's.

Also, small correction: First analogue is 71-72, not 70-71.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 9:58 pm Awesome Tman. :thumbup:
YVr did really well, any chance of posting afew island locales Tmaster? l'm thinking Nanaimo did well.
I remember l looked it up, I recall western sections of Vancouver did well like Kitsilano where l lived at the time. I remember Norm Grohman showing a satellite picture black and white back then with a nice low stationery off the coast back then, man what a snow event.
I remember satellite pictures were in 2 parts first frame in the morning 2nd frame in the afternoon.
I remember the satellite photo on t v. You could see it was pasted together.
Amazing now we get satellite imagery every hour or less and we can pull it up on the internet we are blessed with all the weather info. the public has access to.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 10:11 pm All three are second year Nina's.

Also, small correction: First analogue is 71-72, not 70-71.
Either one works Tsnowman.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 7:12 pm I saw your earlier post, I run a moving company and I wish I would be able to help you with the cross border moving but with the Covid restrictions it’s difficult. When are you exactly moving ? Shoot me a private message
Any discounts to the Sickmiklameenzzzzz. Where it never snows in October.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 10:31 pm YVr did really well, any chance of posting afew island locales Tmaster? l'm thinking Nanaimo did well.
I remember l looked it up, I recall western sections of Vancouver did well like Kitsilano where l lived at the time. I remember Norm Grohman showing a satellite picture black and white back then with a nice low stationery off the coast back then, man what a snow event.
I remember satellite pictures were in 2 parts first frame in the morning 2nd frame in the afternoon.
I remember the satellite photo on t v. You could see it was pasted together.
Amazing now we get satellite imagery every hour or less and we can pull it up on the internet we are blessed with all the weather info. the public has access to.
Planning on posting a similar table for island stations later this week.

Yeah, it was a historic snowstorm, especially for northern sections of Metro Vancouver. 80-120cm over a 4.5 day period. FWIW, I'd say the "Vancouver Dunbar" station likely was closest to where you lived.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 10:53 pm Planning on posting a similar table for island stations later this week.

Yeah, it was a historic snowstorm, especially for northern sections of Metro Vancouver. 80-120cm over a 4.5 day period. FWIW, I'd say the "Vancouver Dunbar" station likely was closest to where you lived.
Yes exactly of course l was close to the beach.
Another thing l'll never forget l remember the snow turning to mixed precip on the Thursday night that week.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 9:47 pm Meteorologist Pete Parsons with the "Oregon Department of Forestry" in his winter forecast update maintains 1970/71, 1996/97, and 2008/09 as the best analogs for this upcoming winter. Would certainly be epic if it verified. :thumbup: :D

Here is his updated winter forecast video:
That would be fantastic! Almost got down to 0c last night brrrr.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 11:37 pm That would be fantastic! Almost got down to 0c last night brrrr.
We've missed out on these frosty morning's due to the Anusol breeze in the central valley this weekend, it's died off tonight.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 10:11 pm All three are second year Nina's.

Also, small correction: First analogue is 71-72, not 70-71.
I meant to put 1971/72. Thanks for the correction. :thumbup:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 9:56 pm Ok..that's insane. I think he could be one of those meteorologists who let's his own weather preferences slightly cloud his judgement. I do hope he's right of course.
Yeah thats what I was thinking as well. All of his analogs feature top tier cold and snowy patterns. That said, he did present some compelling evidence so maybe his forecast will verify. One can only hope... :wish:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Leighbugs »

First sub-zero low here this morning, currently -1C. First frost happened here for me 2 days ago.

It's November! Bring on the snow!
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Oct 31, 2021 4:35 pm I recently compiled snowfall totals for almost every station across the Lower Mainland for the January 1971 snowstorm. Keep in mind, most of these observations are from the old volunteer stations at EC, hence the difference in totals over small areas could be exaggerated due to measuring errors.
Very nice TypingMaster!!! :thumbup:
For your hard work, here is a trophy!
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hound wrote: Mon Nov 01, 2021 12:22 pm Very nice TypingMaster!!! :thumbup:
For your hard work, here is a trophy!
Image
Wait the cup l got from Gumps for winning last years over undies snowfall contest must be a fake, that's the real deal Houndsie. :wtf:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hound »

North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
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