October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Weather101
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

PortKells wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 4:32 pm He's back :o
Let the annual trolling games on the American forum begin..
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 4:46 pm Let the annual trolling games on the American forum begin..
:lol: no better time to start Weedster tomorrow night when the Knuckles beat the Krackenheads.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 4:32 pm Here is a comparison of the December 20th, 2018 storm versus this upcoming storm as shown on the 12Z Euro for Sunday/Monday.

Based on what I can I see, there are some similarities but also some differences.

The December 20th, 2018 storm was less deep than this upcoming storm but it continued to deepen as it approached land. This upcoming storm, on the contrary, is deeper but it weakens as it approaches land. However, since it's significantly deeper than the 2018 storm, it ends up deeper when it reaches land despite weakening on approach. As for the track, this upcoming storm looks to be slightly further northwest than the 2018 storm.

December 20th, 2018:
EuroReanalysis2018.png


Upcoming storm:
12ZEuro2021.png
Not by much Jr. man.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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VanCitySouth
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by VanCitySouth »

So, the ICON dipped south again, and it looks like a couple more closed isobars on the map as compared to the previous run too. I suspect the Euro might move the same way tonight but we shall see.
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2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:03 pm :lol: no better time to start Weedster tomorrow night when the Knuckles beat the Krackenheads.
:lol: They banned me last year so might need to make a new account
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:39 pm :lol: They banned me last year so might need to make a new account
CanadianKrackenhead would be a good one, but diss them completely. :lol:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:30 pm So, the ICON dipped south again, and it looks like a couple more closed isobars on the map as compared to the previous run too. I suspect the Euro might move the same way tonight but we shall see.
That's not good :shock: that track would be a major windstorm for the Lowermainland Van man.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

Komo

As it stands now, the strongest winds should be reserved for the Washington coast and the Northwest Interior, including the San Juans, Whidbey & Camano Islands, and the shoreline areas of Whatcom and Skagit Counties. The National Weather Service has already issued a pre-emptive HIGH WIND WATCH for these regions, as winds there may range between 40 and 60/65 mph Sunday through Monday
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Weather101 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 8:43 pm CanadianKrackenhead would be a good one, but diss them completely. :lol:
That’s actually a good name :lol:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

October 2003 repeat late next week?
ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-tmp_qpf_snow-4904000.png
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Last edited by AbbyJr on Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by PortKells »

This is a legitimate PNW autumn.

ens_image (39).png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:42 pm This is a legitimate PNW autumn.


ens_image (39).png
That it is Kells :thumbup: hope it leads to a legit winter as well.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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PortKells
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Oct 22, 2021 9:44 pm That it is Kells :thumbup: hope it leads to a legit winter as well.
Ive not felt this confident since 2016. Thats not saying much but hey lets see what happens!
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:
12B4FB65-2A14-4E36-8A1A-091B0C9226A4.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SWS for the Sunshine Coast! Very windy beginning Sunday
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