October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Ah missed the early morning weather graphs Tbud but l understand Friday so probably a little, :cheers: and :drunk: :beersign: no worries next time pal. :D
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Catnip
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Catnip »

6z Euro
F1FEA3B3-4348-4A78-B334-8CB5FAF4B649.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Catnip
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Catnip »

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 01636?s=21
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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AbbyJr
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sat Oct 23, 2021 6:45 am 6z Euro

F1FEA3B3-4348-4A78-B334-8CB5FAF4B649.jpeg
This windstorm will likely be a nowcast. It would only take a slight SE shift in the track to bring damaging winds to all regions of the Lower Mainland.
Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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AbbyJr
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-mslp_anom-5213600.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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VanCitySouth
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by VanCitySouth »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Oct 23, 2021 11:21 am ecmwf-deterministic-nw-mslp_anom-5213600.png
That's a decent blow. Not a big blow, but I imagine there will be a few outages if that came to pass.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Wind warning and SWS up for the Sunshine Coast now
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Typeing3
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

In non-local weather news, the deluge is coming for central and northern California on Sunday and Monday. Widespread 50-125mm with double or triple those amounts over higher elevations.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Weather_West ... 6756079622
https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSWPC/statu ... 0165161994
https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSSacrament ... 6369756161
:typing: :type3:
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AbbyJr
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nw-mslp_with_low_locs-5206400 (4).png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Slytyguy
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Slytyguy »

Hi everybody! Been spending a good chunk of the year in the Maritimes but still check-in once and a while :) I still have my highly calibrated ruler ready to go Sardineman! Excited for a fun fall and winter to come! Always appreciate everyones thoughts and charts that are posted. And no I did not get abducted by aliens :lol:
-Sardis #greatdaytobeaduck
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AbbyJr
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Big SE shift in the lows track on the 18Z RGEM for the upcoming wind event. :shock: :shock: :shock:

12Z:
rgem-all-nw-mslp-5217200 (1).png

18Z:
rgem-all-nw-mslp-5217200.png
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Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Slytyguy wrote: ↑Sat Oct 23, 2021 2:19 pm Hi everybody! Been spending a good chunk of the year in the Maritimes but still check-in once and a while :) I still have my highly calibrated ruler ready to go Sardineman! Excited for a fun fall and winter to come! Always appreciate everyones thoughts and charts that are posted. And no I did not get abducted by aliens :lol:
:clap: outstanding Thin man my neighbour, yes good community here if someone disappears then we or l come to the conclusion it's alien 👽 abduction welcome back get ready for rug pulls hair pulls and downright GoofiuS model runs.
Oh and Weedman 101 promises to diss the Ktacken and lack of snow on thr A.F.
Buckle up it's going to be a crazy ride.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Sat Oct 23, 2021 2:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Leighbugs »

Is it snow time yet? I'm already done with rain. Bring on the snowwwwww!!!
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Leighbugs wrote: ↑Sat Oct 23, 2021 2:51 pm Is it snow time yet? I'm already done with rain. Bring on the snowwwwww!!!
:lol: was going to shout out Mrs. Bug's :thumbup: nice the troops are returning hope your doing well Bug's.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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John
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by John »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Oct 23, 2021 2:29 pm Big SE shift in the lows track on the 18Z RGEM for the upcoming wind event. :shock: :shock: :shock:

12Z:
rgem-all-nw-mslp-5217200 (1).png


18Z:
rgem-all-nw-mslp-5217200.png
You still believing in that windstorm junior?
I thinking storm in a teacup
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