October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[wetcoast91]

Trees have recovered and look fine imo after the last months rains. Soil? How is that affected Nito?

Was up on a few hills doing core samples. Surprised by how many trees have seen damage from the looper larvae. The heatwave actually damaged root systems on the forest floor which has loosened rock and soil...An AR event with sustained rain is not ideal.

[AbbyJr]

Models keep flip flopping on the exact trajectory of this upcoming Atmospheric River event. Major shifts in rain totals for some regions run to run. This is likely why Environment Canada maintains uncertainty for some areas. It will be interesting to see how widely the rain totals vary from region to region. Regardless, looks like it will be a very wet few days for all regions.

[AbbyJr]

Was up on a few hills doing core samples. Surprised by how many trees have seen damage from the looper larvae. The heatwave actually damaged root systems on the forest floor which has loosened rock and soil...An AR event with sustained rain is not ideal.

Perhaps this may result in our next windstorm doing more damage than usual.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

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00z GEM ensembles:

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[SouthSardiswx]

Mark Madryga's excited about the AR event coming.

[SouthSardiswx]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (1).png

Is this a Covid graph Tbones.

[John]

Was up on a few hills doing core samples. Surprised by how many trees have seen damage from the looper larvae. The heatwave actually damaged root systems on the forest floor which has loosened rock and soil...An AR event with sustained rain is not ideal.

Lol core samples sounds important

[Glacier]

Fort Nelson was the HOTTEST place in BC yesterday. Still colder than some of the LOWS in Ontario, but still hotter than anyone else in BC...

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[PortKells]

This feels like 2016. Early fall, non stop rain train.

[SouthSardiswx]

Lol core samples sounds important

Kinda sounds important John.

[SouthSardiswx]

This feels like 2016. Early fall, non stop rain train.

The way the Knuckles are playing yes it does seriously active is a good sign, and another good sign is El Nito's awfully quiet which means he's probably worried his pineapples may get snowed under.

[VanCitySouth]

Never count your snowstorms until they...flake? Yeah, let's go with that.

Never count your snowstorms until they flake, Sardine.

[wetcoast91]

The way the Knuckles are playing yes it does seriously active is a good sign, and another good sign is El Nito's awfully quiet which means he's probably worried his pineapples may get snowed under.

Lots of rain coming which is good for fish spawning. Good news is that its no longer looking dry for Tues!

[Hawk]

Was up on a few hills doing core samples. Surprised by how many trees have seen damage from the looper larvae. The heatwave actually damaged root systems on the forest floor which has loosened rock and soil...An AR event with sustained rain is not ideal.

Wow. That is very scientific! I thought you were an atmospheric man? Are you a dirt(y) guy now too?

[Hawk]

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (1).png

Whoa, the Golden Ears Peaks n Valleys continue ..with lots of troffing. Looks to be the default #patternlock we are stuck in