January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Great deal of fog out here in Vancouver. Wonder if most of you guys are socked in as well.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 9:27 am Great deal of fog out here in Vancouver. Wonder if most of you guys are socked in as well.
Nope. Just cloudy here. I can see some fog towards the NE up near lower Burke Mountain and Pitt Lake though.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Windy and mostly cloudy here @3C
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

GEFS is strongly showing the pattern retrograding towards the end of the month.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Fogsville here but not terrible,was worse earlier.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Positive trends in the models for a colder pattern in February. :clap: :thumbup:
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-3544000.png
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-3544000.png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 7:55 am Shockwave from the Volcano showing on barometric pressure locally around 430am

B87F913A-C5F9-41DC-9076-B43468383BED.png
That's insane. I see it on my PWS chart as well.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Hi guys, I sell my CoCoRaHS rain gauge because I have no place to measure rainfall.

It's in metric (inches on the photo) and I have an additional gauge - outer cylinder. $30 for all. PM if interested.

Capture d’écran 2022-01-15 à 13.20.43.jpg
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Shockwave from the volcanic explosion as recorded in Fraser Heights between 4 - 4:30 AM.

2022-01-15_134134.jpg
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

And just because this isn't something you see every day:

FJJs2M-VEAE75YG.jpg
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Take note of the area closest to the lower mainland where the warning is. This is from a volcano on the other side of the ocean.
Now if this was the cascadia quake, which would be thousands of times more powerful and closer, you can imagine the waning area much more serious and spread inland. Yes, Richmond would be toast.

2022-01-15_133544.jpg
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Wow, the GEFS goes out really far now. Forget about hour 384 in the clown range, now we have the ultra :14clown: range!

Image

This seems to be available a couple of times per week?

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

tyweather wrote: Sat Jan 15, 2022 1:54 pm Wow, the GEFS goes out really far now. Forget about hour 384 in the clown range, now we have the ultra :14clown: range!

This seems to be available a couple of times per week?
It runs out the extended range on the 0z’s. I thought it was everyday but I’m not sure on that.
D3AC9C2F-932F-4989-AA23-0EFAB545DF10.png
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Given that I can barely see the next street over, this did not surprise me :roll:
3:57 PM PST Saturday 15 January 2022
Fog advisory in effect for:

Metro Vancouver - central including the City of Vancouver Burnaby and New Westminster
Metro Vancouver - North Shore including West Vancouver and North Vancouver
Metro Vancouver - northeast including Coquitlam and Maple Ridge
Metro Vancouver - southeast including Surrey and Langley
Metro Vancouver - southwest including Richmond and Delta
Near zero visibility in fog is expected or occurring.

Locations: Metro Vancouver and Fraser Valley.

Timespan: Tonight and Sunday morning.

Remarks: A mild and moist airmass will remain over the area tonight. Areas of dense fog are expected to become more widespread tonight and visibilities may at times be reduced to near zero. Conditions are forecast to improve Sunday morning.

Visibility may be significantly and suddenly reduced to near zero. Travel is expected to be hazardous due to reduced visibility in some locations. If visibility is reduced while driving, turn on your lights and maintain a safe following distance.
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
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