February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Well here we go what will our new rodent Okanagan Okie say will this month be a sweetheart for more cold and snow. Or a climo Nito month :D or will it be as ole Gumps would say weather is like a box of chocolates you never know what you'll get.
All l know is higher sun angles means longer day's and eventually spring.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Wed Jan 26, 2022 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

:oops: l forgot to put 2022 in the topic line can one of the mods fix chezzy plezzy. :D :thumbup: thanks.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: Nito.
Looks like our first episode of bommy Feb temps is on the horizon. 12c and sun!! :thumbup: :thumbup:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (18).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (19).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Jan 31, 2022 11:07 pm
If l'm reading this correctly the operational and control goes bananas by mid month. :shock:
Ants 🐜 the arctic front is just going through Fernie it's headed your way.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Reminder that the February analogues as of last week were 1956, 1971, 1985, 1989, 2011, 2014 and 2018.
FJpLAFLWYAAbjMW.jpeg


At YVR (Average high/average low/total snowfall)
Feb 1956 (4.2c/-1.0c/35.9cm)
Feb 1971 (7.0c/1.1c/32.2cm)
Feb 1985 (6.5c/0.0c/27.3cm)
Feb 1989 (4.6c/-3.0c/21.4cm)
Feb 2011 (6.3c/0.5c/7.0cm)
Feb 2014 (5.6c/-0.5c/23.4cm)
Feb 2018 (6.1c/0.6c/25.8cm)



At YXX (Average high/average low/total snowfall)
Feb 1956 (3.3c/-2.4c/48.6cm)
Feb 1971 (7.2c/0.6c/21.9cm)
Feb 1985 (6.1c/-1.4c/30.6cm)
Feb 1989 (4.6c/-4.0c/22.6cm)
Feb 2011 (6.3c/-0.2c/14.2cm)
Feb 2014 (5.4c/-0.5c/21.8cm)
Feb 2018 (5.9c/0.3c/34.2cm)
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

:think:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_8.png
:14clown: doesn't really get there slides east. :roll:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_64.png
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The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Had a brief soft hail shower @ the pond this morning currently plus 3c.
Interesting forecast E.C. has the temp.remaining at or just below freezing on Wednesday for the central valley and Abbotsford :think: l had mentioned in the January thread that modified arctic air would move into the canyon later today.
With some leakage into the central valley looks like E.C. agrees. I'm no Professor predictor Neets but...thank you no applause needed. :D :congrats: :bravo:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: and there it is. EC has 11c and sunny in Abby on Sunday. :hearteyes: :hearteyes: :clap: :clap:
Nito..where you at? :wave:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

You can tell January was pretty uneventful because it had 10000 posts less than December!
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

stuffradio wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:47 am You can tell January was pretty uneventful because it had 10000 posts less than December!
Yes Stuffys if the groundhog (Okanagan Okie) sees his shadow tomorrow will the members that went into hibernation re appear.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

stuffradio wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 5:47 am You can tell January was pretty uneventful because it had 10000 posts less than December!
Yes that is true but we were all pumped and excited in December as well. Then once we had the cold a lot kind of had enough I guess. We lost the mega posters Trio of Storm, Cat and Bono :roll:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Where is everyone? Tomorrow looks quite snowy for many areas in the Lower Mainland, especially Metro Vancouver. It's going to catch a lot of commuters by surprise.

2-4 cm for many area's by the afternoon before it transitions to drizzle/rain later on in the day. Potentially 5-10cm higher up.
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Feb 01, 2022 3:00 am :think: gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_8.png
:14clown: doesn't really get there slides east. :roll:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_64.png
Ensembles hinting at a 2019-like setup. Been a few runs now. :silent:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Nm snow Nito. Its Feb now. 12c and sunny on Sunday :clap: :clap:
Maybe 14c in spots? :think:
:alert: :alert:
Tell em Nito!!! :sign:
Of course it could easily be 18c and bommy during this strong EN, but instead March starts out troffy and chilly! :shock: :shock: Bring on some 18c sunny days
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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