Winter 2022-23

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 3:53 pm Thanks for sharing. Looks like he still is holding onto 1956-57 as a secondary analogue too. 1957 is a great analogue if we're ever to see the return of a classic January. Probably holding out too much hope though. :lol:
Wasn't 99/00 a mild winter Tman? and 11/12 had that mid January event.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 8:10 pm Wasn't 99/00 a mild winter Tman? and 11/12 had that mid January event.
Yeah 99/00 was pretty much a write off. Lots of zonal flow with average/mild temps and lots of rain and a big mountain snowpack. There were a few slushfalls, especially in mid January.

11/12 we had a minor cold air shot with snow in November along with a few days of arctic air and snow in mid January. Fairly mild winter otherwise.
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 8:38 pm Yeah 99/00 was pretty much a write off. Lots of zonal flow with average/mild temps and lots of rain and a big mountain snowpack. There were a few slushfalls, especially in mid January.

11/12 we had a minor cold air shot with snow in November along with a few days of arctic air and snow in mid January. Fairly mild winter otherwise.
Please no 99/00 repeat. :bang: :bang: :bang:
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 8:38 pm Yeah 99/00 was pretty much a write off. Lots of zonal flow with average/mild temps and lots of rain and a big mountain snowpack. There were a few slushfalls, especially in mid January.

11/12 we had a minor cold air shot with snow in November along with a few days of arctic air and snow in mid January. Fairly mild winter otherwise.
Yeah, usually if a winter is write off the year doesn't stand out to me, however the January 2012 event l recall Mission had 30cm of snow l believe Abby sr. did well, l was living in Maple Ridge at the time and had no more than 10cm to 12cm. :thumbdown: The transition event was a bust had some freezing rain and very little snow in Maple Ridge Twinter.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 8:59 pm Please no 99/00 repeat. :bang: :bang: :bang:
Would much rather see a repeat of the secondary analogues mentioned in the vid! 1956-57 and 1971-72. :thumbup:
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 9:38 pm Would much rather see a repeat of the secondary analogues mentioned in the vid! 1956-57 and 1971-72. :thumbup:
I'd be satisfied with a 2008/09 repeat. :clap: :thumbup: :snowman: :wish:
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 9:40 pm I'd be satisfied with a 2008/09 repeat. :clap: :thumbup: :snowman: :wish:
I'd be satisfied with just 1cm of Knucks win. :wtf: brutal absolutely brutal. :sick: Perhaps a 10/11 analog season for the Knuckle nuts. :D
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 9:50 pm I'd be satisfied with just 1cm of Knucks win. :wtf: brutal absolutely brutal. :sick: Perhaps a 10/11 analog season for the Knuckle nuts. :D
Mid November and late February arctic blasts in that winter!
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Oct 22, 2022 10:02 pm Mid November and late February arctic blasts in that winter!
Very true Tstats and of course the biggest rug pull we'll never forget for cold and snow happened on January 8th 2011. It's currently 5c @ the pond in south Sardis under part cloudy skies.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by AbbyJr »

Looks like the QBO is trending positive and with a -ENSO, this winter could be interesting. :clap: :D

Of course, there are never any guarantees but -ENSO/+QBO combos are usually good for our regions in terms of cold and snow.

That said, we have 1999/00 as a tough reminder that such atmospheric and oceanic conditions don't always result in an epic winter here.
However, it worked out well many times in the past with 1990/91, 2008/09, and 2016/17 being some examples.

One can only hope. :thumbup:


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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:02 pm Looks like the QBO is trending positive and with a -ENSO, this winter could be interesting. :clap: :D

Of course, there are never any guarantees but -ENSO/+QBO combos are usually good for our regions in terms of cold and snow.

That said, we have 1999/00 as a tough reminder that such atmospheric and oceanic conditions don't always result in an epic winter here.
However, it worked out well many times in the past with 1990/91, 2008/09, and 2016/17 being some examples.

One can only hope. :thumbup:


:team: :chilly: :snowman:
Thanks for the positive info. Jr. man, if that was the set up for 99/00 winter disaster perhaps some other factors were at play to cause that unusual anomaly you may have to do some deep diving to look up the cause Jr. man let's hope it's not the case then this year that same anomaly has returned.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Thu Nov 10, 2022 6:37 pm Thanks for the positive info. Jr. man, if that was the set up for 99/00 winter disaster perhaps some other factors were at play to cause that unusual anomaly you may have to do some deep diving to look up the cause Jr. man let's hope it's not the case then this year that same anomaly has returned.
Background states are useful but by no means a guarantee.

Think of it as we have a seat at the table. Whether we get served filet mignon or KFC remains to be seen.
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: Mon Nov 14, 2022 11:51 am Background states are useful but by no means a guarantee.

Think of it as we have a seat at the table. Whether we get served filet mignon or KFC remains to be seen.
I like KFC, can't get it up here. I'd say filet mignon or KD. :lol: :lol:
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Mon Nov 14, 2022 8:31 pm I like KFC, can't get it up here. I'd say filet mignon or KD. :lol: :lol:
Or perhaps liver with onions :sick: that would pretty much sum up our winters most of the time.
Just not a sardine on toast please Ms. Friedchickencreeks.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: Winter 2022-23

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Nov 14, 2022 9:15 pm Or perhaps liver with onions :sick: that would pretty much sum up our winters most of the time.
Just not a sardine on toast please Ms. Friedchickencreeks.
Got it, none of this:
n.JPG
:lol: :lol:
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