September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

stuffradio wrote: Thu Sep 29, 2022 5:46 am I had my first glass of Eggnog last night! Analog?
Already!?! I guess with Christmas in full bloom in the stores, why not? Maybe next year you'll see it in July for Christmas in July!
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wetcoast91
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

This new climate sucks. Likely going from a summer pattern straight into a rainy one that 4CH not set to die.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Sep 29, 2022 5:25 pm This new climate sucks. Likely going from a summer pattern straight into a rainy one that 4CH not set to die.
Will be interesting if we follow the summer-fall 1896 script, where we went from drought (only 16.2mm of rain fell in that entire astronomical summer period), followed by constant rain in late October/early-mid November (~400mm from Oct 28th to Nov 15th), and then into the freezer by mid November. That mid-late November arctic blast was a beast, probably only exceeded on duration + extremity of cold combo in November on records by the 1985 event.

Steveston: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1896
New Westminster: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=3
Chilliwack: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1896
Agassiz: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=3
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Sep 29, 2022 2:40 pm BC WX twitter today :lol: :lol:
:lol: Was Vlad having a go with Mike :roll: Tmonster? Mike knows his stuff l tend to lean towards Mike's analysis.
Reached a comfortable hight of 21c @ the pond in south Sardis today mix of sun and cloud this afternoon in the central valley.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

It's currently 15c @ the pond in south Sardis feels mild out still for this time in the morning on this final day of Sleeptember. I wore my me shorts again today this is day ?? for shorts day analog.?
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Remember your September stats Jr. pal should be interesting to see how desert 🏜 like the fraser valley has become. :crazy: :wtf: :o
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00z Euro precip for next 10 days. :shock:
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

6z GFS Precip for the next 10 days. :shock:
2.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 8:45 am 00z Euro precip for next 10 days. :shock:
Catnip wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 8:47 am 6z GFS Precip for the next 10 days. :shock:
Too dry. Throw them out!
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 12:39 am :lol: Was Vlad having a go with Mike :roll: Tmonster? Mike knows his stuff l tend to lean towards Mike's analysis.
Reached a comfortable hight of 21c @ the pond in south Sardis today mix of sun and cloud this afternoon in the central valley.
Mike is a weather briefer for Alaska Airlines, he definitely knows his stuff.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Delta (Sunshine Hills) - Elevation: 280 feet

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

GEFS paints a wetter picture than the GFS
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nw-total_precip_mm-5878400.png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

It's afternoon and currently 14° :chilly:
Gumperoni 43cm
Sardineski 47cm
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 11:09 am Mike is a weather briefer for Alaska Airlines, he definitely knows his stuff.
The fact is the models are flip flopping in the extended. No consensus at all. Could go either way after Thanksgiving. There have been years where it barely rained until Novemeber so Vlad could be right with his guess .1987 , 2002, 1986 I believe as well. In early Novemeber 2002 the Metro reservoirs were under 20% capacity.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 1:19 pm It's afternoon and currently 14° :chilly:
It’s 21 here in Langley
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

21.5C here currently. Foggy start to the day, but now sunny.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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