September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

21.3°C here after a morning low of 12.3.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

19.4c here now, high of the day...so far ;) Chilly last night, down below double digits, 9.2 c. Close to :flakey: :flakey: temps. :lol: :lol:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Abby_wx wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 2:09 pm 21.5C here currently. Foggy start to the day, but now sunny.
Yeah, fog has kept the temps down, especially at white rock beach, finally broke an hr ago, having appy hr at Ocean beach crafts drafts and eats, they finally turned the heat off on patio :lol:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 5:19 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
That's crazy. A small blip late next week, then another warm spell through next weekend (or longer). Interesting that some members actually show the second act being warmer. :lol:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Didn't know east beach had a thermometer.
20220930_171808.jpg
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 7:22 pm Didn't know east beach had a thermometer.
20220930_171808.jpg
:police: inaccurate to close to cement some sun getting on it.
Can't remember how to read mercury thermometers like l use too. :wtf: :o it's currently 17c @ the pond in south Sardis and mostly clear.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 5:19 pm 12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (4).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (5).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
That's a pretty flat line, hopefully not the chart for our winter. :lol: :lol:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Abby_wx wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 7:06 pm That's crazy. A small blip late next week, then another warm spell through next weekend (or longer). Interesting that some members actually show the second act being warmer. :lol:
Will be interesting to see if we pass 2012 for the dry/warm spell. Lasted until October 11th that year, if I remember correctly. Had a few fairly cold mornings (close to freezing) at that time too.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 8:59 pm Will be interesting to see if we pass 2012 for the dry/warm spell. Lasted until October 11th that year, if I remember correctly. Had a few fairly cold mornings (close to freezing) at that time too.
That will be interesting. Looks possible from what I've read/seen. What was that winter like?
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 9:01 pm That will be interesting. Looks possible from what I've read/seen. What was that winter like?
Not a great one had abit of snow afew weeks before Christmas, year of the ice bombs on the Port Mann. January was dull no snow, February we had some fog that month bit of a fog fest. :thumbdown:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 9:01 pm That will be interesting. Looks possible from what I've read/seen. What was that winter like?
Winter lacked any significant cold snaps.

Cold and wet December (rain almost everyday) with a few days of heavy wet snow leading up to Christmas. Cool and dry January (ridge overhead for most of the month). Fairly average February.

Would much rather see us follow the 1896 script instead of 2012. :thumbup:
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 10:51 pm Winter lacked any significant cold snaps.

Cold and wet December (rain almost everyday) with a few days of heavy wet snow leading up to Christmas. Cool and dry January (ridge overhead for most of the month). Fairly average February.

Would much rather see us follow the 1896 script instead of 2012. :thumbup:
Boring! 1896 that would be noteworthy! Was it a La Nina year?
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 9:07 pm Not a great one had abit of snow afew weeks before Christmas, year of the ice bombs on the Port Mann. January was dull no snow, February we had some fog that month bit of a fog fest. :thumbdown:
Any month without snow is dull :lol: :lol: I like fog, we don't get it much here so it's a novelty. It always reminds me of a sci-fi story about a couple who drive in the fog and when they roll their window down and the fog gets into their car it takes them to a different timeline. Not sure why that one has stuck with me all these years.
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Re: September 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Fri Sep 30, 2022 11:02 pm Boring! 1896 that would be noteworthy! Was it a La Nina year?
It was actually an El Nino winter. :lol:
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