October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Moon.

Another beautiful Octgust day. High 23.9 in Sechelt, warm enough for me but I've seen temps on the Island just short of 30c. Tyler was talking about the number of days over 20c in October, this year is blowing the past records out of the water.

Currently 14.6. Watched for the ISS last night with my neighbours and saw a surprise shooting star!
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Tue Oct 04, 2022 12:01 am Moon.

Another beautiful Octgust day. High 23.9 in Sechelt, warm enough for me but I've seen temps on the Island just short of 30c. Tyler was talking about the number of days over 20c in October, this year is blowing the past records out of the water.

Currently 14.6. Watched for the ISS last night with my neighbours and saw a surprise shooting star!
Your lucky Ms. Darkskycreeks, too much light pollution in the central valley. When l'm out in Rosedale it's a tad better for star gazing still not perfect.
I was thinking perhaps a shooting Hawk, Flamingo? :shifty: :D if this is Octgust December should be Deoctober. :crazy:
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Tue Oct 04, 2022 12:07 am Your lucky Ms. Darkskycreeks, too much light pollution in the central valley. When l'm out in Rosedale it's a tad better for star gazing still not perfect.
I was thinking perhaps a shooting Hawk, Flamingo? :shifty: :D if this is Octgust December should be Deoctober. :crazy:
I am lucky, there is very little light pollution up here, I can see the Vancouver glow but other than that I'm in the dark. The stars when the air is clear are so bright and millions of them. There are also a surprising number of satellites cruising around up there. My neighbours wanted to see the starlink ones but they weren't passing over then.

Deoctober :thumbup: :thumbup: or Dec-tober as in Deck the halls.
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Tue Oct 04, 2022 12:18 am I am lucky, there is very little light pollution up here, I can see the Vancouver glow but other than that I'm in the dark. The stars when the air is clear are so bright and millions of them. There are also a surprising number of satellites cruising around up there. My neighbours wanted to see the starlink ones but they weren't passing over then.

Deoctober :thumbup: :thumbup: or Dec-tober as in Deck the halls.
Yes Dec the grass with dandelions by then at this rate. :lol: the starlinks look like a line of lights. There should be an app for that to use perhaps on your cell.
I use the free app called Sky view free it shows current location of Hubble, ISS, all planets, sun, moon and constellations.
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:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (42).png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (43).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (44).png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

20221004093821-ca297055ba701ad09ccd3f68a6eebcc90678e54d.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles

00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (4).png

00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60 (5).png

00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64 (5).png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Oct 04, 2022 2:37 am
Welp Tdust, precip just gets absolutely watered down or looks like a distant mirage. Mind you temperatures look to moderate some what but still slightly above normal. :crazy:
At this rate perhaps a pattern change by Halloween. 🎃 or Remberance day at this rate El Neato's pineapple season may not come to fruition. :shifty: :wtf: :D
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Oct 03, 2022 10:59 pm Yes indeed it was Cmen79 l was living in Richmond at the time got to see the Concorde fly into YVR that summer. :shock: unfortunately that winter 86/87 was a dud l recall a slush fall in early to mid January is all l remember.
I got to board that Concorde 8-) was working for Canada Customs at YVR and as it was the Air France Concorde one of the superintendents decided that all the bilingual officers should search the plane :lol:
it was a pretty sweet plane, basically all seats were first class. very narrow though
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Latest CANSIPS Seasonal Outlook

Not too shabby.
oct.png
nov.png
dec.png
jan.png
feb.png
march.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:o :o

:? :crazy: :think:

Yes this includes some :14clown: range, however I would be inclined to bet on the :14clown:'s this time around.

00z GFS Total Precip
00z.png
6z GFS Total Precip
6z.png
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Oct 04, 2022 9:36 am :o :o

:? :crazy: :think:

Yes this includes some :14clown: range, however I would be inclined to bet on the :14clown:'s this time around.

00z GFS Total Precip
00z.png

6z GFS Total Precip
6z.png
Looks like a July or August long range precip forecast!
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

12z bone dry till HR384
12z1.png
12z2.png
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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Tue Oct 04, 2022 11:18 am 12z bone dry till HR384

Okay, this is ridiculous now.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: October 2022 Forecast and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The latest Euro seasonal doesn't really paint a promising picture for winter.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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