November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Nov 26, 2022 10:55 pm The 00Z GEM is not much better than the 12Z and the 00Z Euro took a step backwards. Still have the GFS on board but I don't like seeing a Euro rug pull as we near the event. Hopefully we see better trends in the coming runs.


:team: :chilly: :snowman:
...and so it begins, the slow, incremental loss of our promised feeetz. :cry:

EC is on board the snow train though and a -7c on Wedn.

Currently a drizzly 6.2c in Roberts Creek and 7.3c in Sechelt.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Nov 26, 2022 10:55 pm The 00Z GEM is not much better than the 12Z and the 00Z Euro took a step backwards. Still have the GFS on board but I don't like seeing a Euro rug pull as we near the event. Hopefully we see better trends in the coming runs.


:team: :chilly: :snowman:
If we are getting decent snow then I don’t care if the cold is short lived. It’s not even winter yet! I’m dancing 😊
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Winds are bordering on problematic, but power hasn't gone off so far. A few outages in Langley according to BC Hydro.

Only 3 mm of rain so far and it looks like it's almost done.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

Seeing comments all other the place with the latest euro. Which is it ? Good or bad or no real change ?
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Pomoman wrote: Sat Nov 26, 2022 11:36 pm Seeing comments all other the place with the latest euro. Which is it ? Good or bad or no real change ?
Definitely warmer on Tuesday night. 925mb temps are quite a bit warmer than the 12z. We’ve learned to ignore snow maps in these situations. Probably a snow to rain situation
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

Monty wrote: Sat Nov 26, 2022 11:58 pm Definitely warmer on Tuesday night. 925mb temps are quite a bit warmer than the 12z. We’ve learned to ignore snow maps in these situations. Probably a snow to rain situation
Thanks !
Disappointing but still a few days away.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Pomoman wrote: Sat Nov 26, 2022 11:59 pm Thanks !
Disappointing but still a few days away.
Does that mean the Arctic air will not penetrate into our netherlands. :wtf: :o
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Looks like the cold front just got here. Wind is westerly with strong gusts now. Light showers.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:05 am Does that mean the Arctic will not penetrate in our netherlands. :wtf: :o
It will. Just not from the Annis region this time.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Pomoman wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:08 am It will. Just not from the Annis region this time.
:lol: l take no part in those antics Mr. Cm"s star.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

To me the models are just doing there take and give antics, l can't see a total collapse but l guess we'll see with the next model runs.
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

I guess they 🛸 didn't have room tonight Ms. Onagainoffagainsnowcreeks.
It's currently 7c @ the pond in south Sardis with gusty SW winds highest gust recorded at the pond so far 75kmh. :o
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:25 am I guess they 🛸 didn't have room tonight Ms. Onagainoffagainsnowcreeks.
It's currently 7c @ the pond in south Sardis with gusty SW winds highest gust recorded at the pond so far 75kmh. :o
Wind just picked up here. Seeing lots of red on BC Hydro map. Looks like I'm lucky to have power 800+ out in Roberts Creek!
Last edited by Roberts Creeker on Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:33 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Slytyguy »

The Euro is a regression but for many of us North of the border and away from the coast still looks like snow. If the low slides further north that will change. So hard to say but tomorrows runs within 72 hours will be telling imo
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Slytyguy wrote: Sun Nov 27, 2022 12:31 am The Euro is a regression but for many of us North of the border and away from the coast still looks like snow. If the low slides further north that will change. So hard to say but tomorrows runs within 72 hours will be telling imo
Yes agree Slyts but l'm assuming the Arctic air is still on the table? I'm presuming it's the early next week event that is up in the air.
Hopefully we'll still score some good sticking snow. :thumbup:
The 6th annual alzheimer's snowfall contest
:team: Canoodles record: 44-18-8
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 43cm :wtf:
:hockey: South Sardines: 57cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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