Random Stats

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Glacier
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Re: Random Stats

Post by Glacier » Thu May 20, 2021 5:11 pm

Have you ever wondered which place in the province is your city's doppelganger? Let's just look at daily low temperatures and see which other place or places in the province have 50/50 odds of being hotter or colder than your city.

Example #1: Pitt Meadows has a 99.8% chance of being warmer than Yoho National Park, so clearly Pitt Medows is the warmer place. At the other extreme end, Pitt Meadows only has a 12% chance of being warmer than White Rock, so clearly White Rock is warmer (in the mornings anyway).

BUT, compared to Malahat, the odds are almost 50/50 with Malahat being warmer 49.6% of the time and Pitt Meadows being warmer 50.4% of the time (ignoring tied days). Therefore, Pitt Meadow's doppelganger is Malahat.The reverse is also true for Malahat, but this is not always the case.

Some other interesting ones: Nanaimo's doppelganger is Lytton, but Lytton's doppelganger is Sandspit. This happens because Lytton and Nanaimo are about 1% off verses a 0.5% difference between Lytton and Sandspit.

Victoria's doppelganger is also Sandspit.

Osoyoos => Port Hardy
Abbotsford <=> Hope
Cranbrook <=> Princeton
Duncan => Masset
Williams Lake => Smithers,
Puntzi Mountain <=> Dease Lake
Lillooet => Powell River
etc.

Some places have no doppelganger because they do not have anyone who is at least 48/52% against.

One is Saturna Island which is warmer than the 2nd warmest spot (White Rock) 65% of the time.

Another is Clearwater, where its closest comparison is Merritt, and even then it's Merritt 60% and Clearwater 40%. Against all other places in BC against Clearwater, he place is far more warmer than Clearwater or far colder.

The last place with no doppelganger is Vancouver (YVR) with its nearest comparison being West Van (Vancouver is warmer 56% of the time verses 44%.

West Van's doppelganger is Estevan Point.
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Re: Random Stats

Post by Glacier » Mon May 31, 2021 10:07 am

How many heat warnings would there be across Canada if the entire nation used the same heat warning threshold as Vancouver or Abbotsford?
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Re: Random Stats

Post by Glacier » Thu Sep 09, 2021 12:04 pm

Harrison Lake is over 900 ft below sea level!

At the bottom...
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Re: Random Stats

Post by SouthSardiswx » Wed Sep 15, 2021 9:52 pm

Glacier wrote:
Thu Sep 09, 2021 12:04 pm
Harrison Lake is over 900 ft below sea level!

At the bottom...

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Quesnel lake is deep Glace. :o
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Re: Random Stats

Post by Glacier » Mon May 02, 2022 12:26 pm

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Re: Random Stats

Post by SouthSardiswx » Mon May 02, 2022 8:19 pm

Glacier wrote:
Thu May 20, 2021 5:11 pm
Have you ever wondered which place in the province is your city's doppelganger? Let's just look at daily low temperatures and see which other place or places in the province have 50/50 odds of being hotter or colder than your city.

Example #1: Pitt Meadows has a 99.8% chance of being warmer than Yoho National Park, so clearly Pitt Medows is the warmer place. At the other extreme end, Pitt Meadows only has a 12% chance of being warmer than White Rock, so clearly White Rock is warmer (in the mornings anyway).

BUT, compared to Malahat, the odds are almost 50/50 with Malahat being warmer 49.6% of the time and Pitt Meadows being warmer 50.4% of the time (ignoring tied days). Therefore, Pitt Meadow's doppelganger is Malahat.The reverse is also true for Malahat, but this is not always the case.

Some other interesting ones: Nanaimo's doppelganger is Lytton, but Lytton's doppelganger is Sandspit. This happens because Lytton and Nanaimo are about 1% off verses a 0.5% difference between Lytton and Sandspit.

Victoria's doppelganger is also Sandspit.

Osoyoos => Port Hardy
Abbotsford <=> Hope
Cranbrook <=> Princeton
Duncan => Masset
Williams Lake => Smithers,
Puntzi Mountain <=> Dease Lake
Lillooet => Powell River
etc.

Some places have no doppelganger because they do not have anyone who is at least 48/52% against.

One is Saturna Island which is warmer than the 2nd warmest spot (White Rock) 65% of the time.

Another is Clearwater, where its closest comparison is Merritt, and even then it's Merritt 60% and Clearwater 40%. Against all other places in BC against Clearwater, he place is far more warmer than Clearwater or far colder.

The last place with no doppelganger is Vancouver (YVR) with its nearest comparison being West Van (Vancouver is warmer 56% of the time verses 44%.

West Van's doppelganger is Estevan Point.
Interesting analysis Glace l just noticed this today, appers to be some rather suspicious towns or cities in that list.
Perhaps some fudging of the numbers maybe involved. :shifty: my thoughts for Chilliwack is a 100% chance of being nobody's uncle Glace. :D
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