12Z GFS running a smidge warmer aloft.
November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
- wetcoast91
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- Storm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
- VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Well I guess it's time for an AF style meltdown
2023-24 season stats:
Climo 81 to 44 GFS
Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
Climo 81 to 44 GFS
Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
- Storm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Don't listen to him. Master propagandist
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
- VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Warm nose, terrain bleed, phantom snow, southerlies break through, +12
Am I missing anything Nito?
2023-24 season stats:
Climo 81 to 44 GFS
Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
Climo 81 to 44 GFS
Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
- VanCitySouth
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Stormers we gotta admit past 24 hours hasn't been kind. We're running out of time and it's moving the wrong way.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo 81 to 44 GFS
Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
Climo 81 to 44 GFS
Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
- PortKells
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- Typeing3
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- Radar
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Just wait. The next one is likely a bigger disappointment. Surrey goes from 20cm to 4cm and rain Wednesday and Thursday and then no arctic air and melt down.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
23/24 snow total: 48 cm
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
23/24 snow total: 48 cm
- Storm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Yeah, sure. If you would of tell me a week ago that we are tracking real possibility of snow two days out, I would of take any chance of snow. The models can predict so much, when it comes to storm intensity, track, temperature and etc. they are close not perfect.VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Sun Nov 27, 2022 8:00 am Stormers we gotta admit past 24 hours hasn't been kind. We're running out of time and it's moving the wrong way.
Also some people who are reading this forum they don't understand maps and just from our comments might think this is a complete BUST.
One thing we know, it will most definitely snow, how much remainstobe seen, when (if) transition to rain is still unknown.
Go
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
- Storm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Another way to look at it.
2m temp. Snow. Every single member has snow for us. And this is for YVR.
2m temp. Snow. Every single member has snow for us. And this is for YVR.
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North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
-
- Weather Tracker
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Today marks 37 years that I remember Rogers Cablevision weather station in Abbotsford reporting a current air temperature in Abbotsford of -18C. It was the year I became interested in weather... Nice semi-protracted arctic blast for our area. We lost power for a number of days - had to cook food on our wood stove (which we literally just had installed in our new home earlier that year)... Also, because we had electric heat, this meant we literally had no heat, aside from the wood stove. It heated the entire 3000sq ft home. To now, it's still the coldest temp I can ever remember in Abbotsford (however I do believe Dec 2021 is pretty much on par at least for temps)... Fun memories!
Last edited by arbetrader on Sun Nov 27, 2022 9:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
- Storm
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
ICON is snowier as well. Reverse trends?
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
- Storm
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- Mattman
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Re: November 2022 Forecasts and Discussions
Something curious to watch around Dec 6-7. The GEM was flirting with this idea on Wednesday. The 00Z EURO and to a lesser extent the 12z GFS draw a portion of that polar lobe over the Prairies towards us. Curious to see subsequent runs. I've noticed the GFS is comparatively progressive vs. the EURO, but it still managed to retrograde part of that lobe. (A more seasoned model rider would know if there's a progressive bias in the GFS or a blocking bias in the EURO). I guess that lobe is what the weenies out east were thinking it was coming to them a week or so ago.
Lastly, my emotions lean towards the GFS for Wednesday, but my Vulcan side says Euro is king.
Lastly, my emotions lean towards the GFS for Wednesday, but my Vulcan side says Euro is king.