December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

Does Morocco have a weather model?

No, they decided it wasn't worth investing in since they're wrong more often than not...

[Storm]

How is thr French model looking? They will win the World Cup.

[AbbyJr]

Umm Neetz?



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Lock it in!

[AbbyJr]

I cannot believe how much the models are diverging and changing from run to run. The only thing I'm pretty sure of is there will be a cold airmass SOMEWHERE at SOMETIME.

Agreed. In fact, I don’t remember the last time it was this bad. Even the ensembles are inconsistent run to run.

At this point, I wouldn’t trust anything 200+ hours out.

[PortKells]

How is thr French model looking? They will win the World Cup.

The 18z FFS has Messi turning up the heat on Croatia before making it rain on France into next week.

[PortKells]

Agreed. In fact, I don’t remember the last time it was this bad. Even the ensembles are inconsistent run to run.

At this point, I wouldn’t trust anything 200+ hours out.

The EPS might have it down now. A transitory cold snap leading into an inversion pattern and cold east around xmas. Which is kind of ideal IF we get a dump of snow leading into the inversion. Then who cares about the upper levels, you've got cold and snow at the surface.

[Canada Goose]

It's coming...

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... gZoGOT5hzw

[Catnip]

It's coming...

Umm Neetz… GOOSE is on board!!!!!

[Typeing3]

The 18z FFS has Messi turning up the heat on Croatia before making it rain on France into next week.

The 12z Argentinian model held the line on Friday, predicting a cold snap over Holland. Best to rely on it for the upcoming week too!

[Canada Goose]

https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1602 ... aBy9yspJ2w

[Storm]

The 12z Argentinian model held the line on Friday, predicting a cold snap over Holland. Best to rely on it for the upcoming week too!

Messi and his diving almost cast Argentina semi final spot. Such a great player and such a bad diver. Not sure they will beat Croatia though.

[Typeing3]

Messi and his diving almost cast Argentina semi final spot. Such a great player and such a bad diver. Not sure they will beat Croatia though.

https://forums.bcstorms.ca/viewtopic.ph ... 1#p1049961

[wetcoast91]

has strength in attacking
but can protect a lead



My money is on to win the Weather World Cup.

[Typeing3]

has strength in attacking
but can protect a lead



My money is on to win the Weather World Cup.

If they're on the same team though....

#1996

[AbbyJr]

The EPS might have it down now. A transitory cold snap leading into an inversion pattern and cold east around xmas. Which is kind of ideal IF we get a dump of snow leading into the inversion. Then who cares about the upper levels, you've got cold and snow at the surface.

That’s very possible but I think there is still potential for the cold snap to persist longer than currently modelled. Previous runs had the trough further east in the long range but more recent runs have shifted it west. As was already pointed out here, there seems to be a model bias to slide the trough east in the longer range but then it ends up further west in reality. Last time, this worked against us as the trough went too far west and ejected most of the cold over the ocean. Time will tell but the trend may be in our favour.