December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:05 am Nito lost the GEFS.
Based on his earlier post, I think he :arrow: :arrow: to an East Coast based forum.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Storm wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:05 am Nito lost the GEFS.
It's a junk model.

My money is on the French model.
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:09 am Ensemble improvements with temps and snow chances.

Biggest improvement there is the Op is no longer an outlier and the mean takes a dive too. This is happening.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:10 am It's a junk model.

My money is on the French model.
:dunno: Neetz...

I don't think the Moroccan model is done making noise yet.

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:10 am It's a junk model.

My money is on the French model.
No loyalty to your pineapple model!
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:09 am Ensemble improvements with temps and snow chances.

ens_image.png
Lagging a couple days behind the Euro again in terms of pattern identification. Sorta embarrassing really, for "the most powerful country on earth."
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:12 am Lagging a couple days behind the Euro again in terms of pattern identification. Sorta embarrassing really, for "the most powerful country on earth."
Ya... again... it really does seem like the latest update took the GFS backwards a step or two.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:10 am It's a junk model.

My money is on the French model.
Ah, the good old FFS.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

VanCitySouth wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:12 am Lagging a couple days behind the Euro again in terms of pattern identification. Sorta embarrassing really, for "the most powerful country on earth."
I'd be curious what the US military relies on for its weather forecasting.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Ukmet is on #Teamsnow. Any comments from the opposing team's captain?

500h_anom.conus.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

PortKells wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:20 am Ah, the good old FFS.
What Nito's internal monologue is right about now :lol: :lol:
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:27 am Ukmet is on #Teamsnow. Any comments from the opposing team's captain?
Second best model suite in the world. Consistently scores higher than the GFS and GEM.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I think Nito is secretly loving this and has probably already told his wife and kid it is going to snow!
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:23 am I'd be curious what the US military relies on for its weather forecasting.
I suspect their met division does what any good met does and relies on all of them.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Dec 12, 2022 9:33 am I think Nito is secretly loving this and has probably already told his wife and kid it is going to snow!
Debating on whether I should create a WX Twitter account to hype this up.

"Major Arctic blast headed for the South Coast. Snow amounts in excess of 1 meter should fall by next week."
Post Reply