December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

It looks like HRDPS goes snow-ZR-snow-rain

What a weird progression
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Catnip
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Looks like -13.2c will be the overnight low here.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Catnip
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Icy Fraser at the Patullo.

https://twitter.com/dangeronair/status/ ... VagsnSBshQ
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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John
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Feels like 1996 repeat
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Storm
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

https://twitter.com/GrahamPudek/status/ ... GqpvQ&s=19
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Catnip
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Current DP is -17.9c after dropping to -18.9c overnight.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Almost looks like a Cat 3 AR for Vancouver Island Image

King Tide is on Monday...so all the rain and snow melt will contribute to flooding.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Nordelian »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 7:32 am They need to upgrade the winter storm watch to a warning. Other than that, the 10–20 cm of snow in the watch looks like a reasonable estimate based on model guidance.
Warnings are issued based on time out from event, even if they are certain it will be a watch still until I believe 18 hours in advance

Warnings should come out later this morning
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Storm
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... Qs_8g&s=19
https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... OTRJA&s=19
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wetcoast91
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Thankfully we won't see too much ice, a lengthy period of +2C rain though. :thumbdown:
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:44 am Almost looks like a Cat 3 AR for Vancouver Island Image

King Tide is on Monday...so all the rain and snow melt will contribute to flooding.
Uh oh. That combo absolutely wrecked my family's property on Thormanby island last year causing massive repairs. Hopefully not as bad this time.
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Hmm.
KLGX - Precipitation Depiction, 8_49 AM.gif
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VanCitySouth
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Anyone have 12z HRDPS pretty please
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Storm
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Anyone think we see 25 cm +? Ratio will more like 15:1, not a big warm up until later tomorrow.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: December 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Storm wrote: ↑Thu Dec 22, 2022 8:58 am Anyone think we see 25 cm +? Ratio will more like 15:1, not a big warm up until later tomorrow.
GEM and GFS say some areas may get that much but not ECMWF.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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