February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Front moving south down the Harrison River: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IBCAGASS2

Agassiz/Rosedale/Bridal Falls next.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

The Low overtop is visible on Radar too:

https://weather.gc.ca/map_e.html?layers ... 3.22770287
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:

Cold rain and low elevation snow for California tomorrow through Friday.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_swus_fh24-96.gif
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Tue Feb 21, 2023 3:39 pm Haha. I think there will be at least some flurries in western sections of the lower mainland tomorrow.
Flurries mixed with dust.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Tue Feb 21, 2023 4:16 pm The Low overtop is visible on Radar too:

https://weather.gc.ca/map_e.html?layers ... 3.22770287
Can also see the precip from the leading edge of the arctic front (on a W-E axis) right over the mountains to our north. Slowly moving through the eastern valley too.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles

12z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png


12z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png


12z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z WRF-GFS (1.33km resolution)

Low temps tomorrow morning:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 162943.png


High temps tomorrow afternoon:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 162955.png


Low temps Thursday morning:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 163007.png


High temps Thursday afternoon:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 163020.png
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Feb 21, 2023 4:30 pm 00z WRF-GFS (1.33km resolution)

Low temps tomorrow morning:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 162943.png



High temps tomorrow afternoon:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 162955.png



Low temps Thursday morning:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 163007.png



High temps Thursday afternoon:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 163020.png
I feel like WRF/mm5 sometimes exaggerates the surface cold, so we shall see.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

8 degrees at Whatcom, 15 min ago, 3 degrees at Lickman road right now...and east wind picking up here...this is fun
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Feb 21, 2023 4:33 pm I feel like WRF/mm5 sometimes exaggerates the surface cold, so we shall see.
Will be dependent on snow cover.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The sky definitely has that distinct impending snow look to it to the N/NW. :think:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bc_trucker wrote: Tue Feb 21, 2023 4:33 pm 8 degrees at Whatcom, 15 min ago, 3 degrees at Lickman road right now...and east wind picking up here...this is fun
Yep... front approaching downtown Chilliwack now: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ICHILLIW4
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Feb 21, 2023 4:37 pm The sky definitely has that distinct impending snow look to it to the N/NW. :think:
Hail/graupel in Burnaby.
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:alert:
Screenshot 2023-02-21 164832.png
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