February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

[PortKells]

That trough next weekend looks to stick around for a while too. Here are the 850s for that week.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_5day-8579200.png

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I stopped looking at apps and stuff man. They don't know crap. This is the EPS for next weekend.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-7952800.png

Wow! Yah your right Kells well l just had a peak for E.C.'s forecast.
So unfortunately l saw their outlook too totally crap.

[wetcoast91]

Looks like bands of moisture not so much as a blob should be interesting.

Already had a round of pre-frontal flurrie sweep through.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Already had a round of pre-frontal flurrie sweep through.

Get the weed whacker out fight back El Neetzs.

[PortKells]

-2.5c, dp -7.5c.

This is what last night's euro had at around this time...not too far off.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-7340800.png

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

This is what last night's euro had at around this time...not too far off.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-t2m_c-7340800.png

Pretty much spot-on. That map has a -2 on top of me and my thermometer reads -2.2ËšC right now. Overnight low was -4.4.

[wetcoast91]

Get the weed whacker out fight back El Neetzs.

It was the perfect day to mow the front lawn yesterday. Probably the best day until late April considering the low RH.

[Pumpkin Seed]

Temperature warmed up from -2.3 at 6am to -1.7 now. Not a good sign at all. And my phone shows it will be +2 around noon when the snow arrives. I think it will be marginal for my location and will be lucky if I end up with 5cm by tomorrow morning.

[PortKells]

It was the perfect day to mow the front lawn yesterday. Probably the best day until late April considering the low RH.

You gotta get yourself some sheep, they do it for free

[PortKells]

Temperature warmed up from -2.3 at 6am to -1.7 now. Not a good sign at all. And my phone shows it will be +2 around noon when the snow arrives. I think it will be marginal for my location and will be lucky if I end up with 5cm by tomorrow morning.

You could be right but like someone mentioned, +2 isn't that bad when you take into account evaporative cooling. The system isn't bringing much warmer air with it since it's coming from the NW, so its not a traditional "overrunning" situation. I still say 10 cm minimum down there but who knows.

[VanCitySouth]

Temperature warmed up from -2.3 at 6am to -1.7 now. Not a good sign at all. And my phone shows it will be +2 around noon when the snow arrives. I think it will be marginal for my location and will be lucky if I end up with 5cm by tomorrow morning.

Have faith. Temps will cool off in a hurry with precip and dew points being low. It really wasn't supposed to be that cold this morning anyway. Temps always bump up as the clouds roll in. This has all been modeled, none of these "bad signs" are unexpected.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Looking at the HRRR, NAM 3km, HRDPS, ECMWF, and GFS, model consensus is that the action begins some time between 3:00 PM and sunset. GFS is an outlier and says we should see flakes flying around noon.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

From Tyler

15488ACA-2F36-4D7D-9CE6-CBF62537BD70.jpeg

I think those numbers are on the low side. ECMWF, GFS, and NAM 3km Kuchera maps all call for more.

P.S. GEM calls for more, too.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

12Z GEM now has a map out for tomorrow morning at this time. It’s very snowy.

gem-all-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-7423600.png

[Storm]

We have repeat, an other system slides down the coast.