February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:29 am GOLU model looking very accurate the next 36 hours.
:lol: :lol: love it, 100% accurate model.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Catnip
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:27 am Deformation zones are tricky for models to pinpoint.

Considering as of last night EC had a few showers or flurries on the forecast for today, there are going to be some surprised people looking out the window today. ❄️
#surprises

:angel:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Monty
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 9:19 am Cracked 100cm with yesterdays snowfall.

Next goal... 150. C'MON!!!!!

:thumbup: :lol: :lol:

:wish:
I see a few of us have crossed 100cm. Decent score
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Catnip
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Looks like the moisture is approaching the border, heading for Western areas.

:raindrip: ?
:raindrip: :flakey: ?
:flakey: ?
:cancel: ?

:dunno:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:38 am Looks like the moisture is approaching the border, heading for Western areas.

:raindrip: ?
:raindrip: :flakey: ?
:flakey: ?
:cancel: ?

:dunno:
My guess is :raindrip: maybe turning to :flakey: for some
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:38 am Looks like the moisture is approaching the border, heading for Western areas.

:raindrip: ?
:raindrip: :flakey: ?
:flakey: ?
:cancel: ?

:dunno:
Based on reports from the south, :raindrip: changing to :flakey: is the most likely scenario.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Monty
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:34 am #surprises

:angel:
Weather window surprises
F073B3D5-2AE1-42B9-8E3C-936587B62A8B.jpeg
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 9:59 am Is this a good or bad thing for snow Nito? Technical opinion please and thank you.
Storm wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 9:58 am Can you be more specifics
Means this system is still developing in real time which would explain the ever changing details on the model runs. Really unpredictable event. We may see nothing to 20cm.
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Hawk
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 9:55 am Full on cyclogenesis with this low off the coast.
I was thinking the same thing but i dunno..looks really nice! I'm not too smart here with this stuff obviously :lol: :lol: .
Is it "Bombing" out? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:43 am Weather window surprises

F073B3D5-2AE1-42B9-8E3C-936587B62A8B.jpeg
Whoa serious pumbling right there! And so it begins :shock: :shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Vis satellite seems to show a little Low spinning up over the Olympic Pen heading N. What will this do Nito? Enhance the snow? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

see what EC has on the 11am > Anxiously awaiting the update 8-)
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Snowfall Warning Nanaimo:

https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e ... ww1171cwvr
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:41 am My guess is :raindrip: maybe turning to :flakey: for some
:storm: :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 27, 2023 10:45 am Means this system is still developing in real time which would explain the ever changing details on the model runs. Really unpredictable event. We may see nothing to 20cm.
You mean your grass is 20cm long now Neetz. :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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