November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 10:55 am Sneak peak of the 12Z Euro… big collapse incoming. :bang: :bang: :bang:
Really don't see it happening this month. Too much jet activity. Middle of December is the window when we see more blocking...although the same blocking may bring ridging. :think:

Super Nino could bring a 2015-16 repeat.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 6:22 pm Really don't see it happening this month. Too much jet activity. Middle of December is the window when we see more blocking...although the same blocking may bring ridging. :think:

Super Nino could bring a 2015-16 repeat.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 6:56 pm :dancepine: :dancepine: :dancepine:
Relax Jr. man tis the season soon enjoy all the festivities the season has to offer as well as the amazing cup run by the Canookleheads. :thumbup: we reached a high of 11c @ the pond in south Sardis with 5.3mm in the pond since midnight.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 2:43 pm I just finished putting up our Christmas lights. Now, it can rain. :raindrip:
:lol: Or this Bones.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 7:09 pm Relax Jr. man tis the season soon enjoy all the festivities the season has to offer as well as the amazing cup run by the Canookleheads. :thumbup: we reached a high of 11c @ the pond in south Sardis with 5.3mm in the pond since midnight.
There's still time for December 1965 or 1972. January 1966 or 1969 is also still possible since anything is possible and it's not even December yet. A chilly high of 10.5C here today with partly cloudy skies. :thumbup:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 7:36 pm There's still time for December 1965 or 1972. January 1966 or 1969 is also still possible since anything is possible and it's not even December yet. A chilly high of 10.5C here today with partly cloudy skies. :thumbup:
I know Jr. man there's still hope but l gave up in July. :wtf: just the odds are stacked against us unfortunately it's just the price we pay for living on the great coast with a warm ocean nearby and blocking mountains. :x :(
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:00 pm I know Jr. man there's still hope but l gave up in July. :wtf: just the odds are stacked against us unfortunately it's just the price we pay for living on the great coast with a warm ocean nearby and blocking mountains. :x :(
We also have to contend with a climate that seems to no longer cooperate. Long live the 50's and 60's. :bang: :bang: :bang:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:14 pm We also have to contend with a climate that seems to no longer cooperate. Long live the 50's and 60's. :bang: :bang: :bang:
This is true l was 9 during the 68/69 Arctic blast and snow's it was an amazing winter Jr. man yes we've had some decent events since but that is one l remember fondly it just seemed to be re load after re load.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Flakey »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:20 pm This is true l was 9 during the 68/69 Arctic blast and snow's it was an amazing winter Jr. man yes we've had some decent events since but that is one l remember fondly it just seemed to be re load after re load.
Remember getting slight frostbite on my feet and my parents doing what you aren't supposed to do putting my feet on the heat register when I came in.Seems we can still get cold outbreaks but less snow events than I remember.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Flakey wrote: Mon Nov 13, 2023 9:56 pm Remember getting slight frostbite on my feet and my parents doing what you aren't supposed to do putting my feet on the heat register when I came in.Seems we can still get cold outbreaks but less snow events than I remember.
This is true we always seem to get measurable snow now we're lucky if we get afew flakey's pardon the pun.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

It's currently a frosty 0c @ the pond in south Sardis. Hi Mrs. Bugs hoping all is well with you stay strong friend. :thumbup: :wave:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



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20231114143327-529b8d97c26946fe873730751590fd8ae9d74909.png
20231114143300-f6335e14aae7e282d5a4febc6e17e12e1d418820.png
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

-1.5c so far for the low at the only pond in south Sardis driving home from Abbs the fog is along the Fraser River to the north of hiway 1 is the cut off but it's clear where the official pond in south Sardis is located. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Nov 14, 2023 6:34 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




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20231114143327-529b8d97c26946fe873730751590fd8ae9d74909.png
20231114143300-f6335e14aae7e282d5a4febc6e17e12e1d418820.png
Looks to me like a mini November heat hump :( and the cool down is eroding away oh well go Cando's go! your our only hope to score this winter. :thumbup: :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Nov 14, 2023 6:34 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




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20231114143327-529b8d97c26946fe873730751590fd8ae9d74909.png
20231114143300-f6335e14aae7e282d5a4febc6e17e12e1d418820.png
This is quite sad from just a few days ago. Long live the 48 hour rule!! :shh:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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