November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

High of 3.0c in east Coquitlam today. Coldest temp since Sunday here at -1.0c currently. Fog has partially cleared with the moon visible.

Thick fog still looks to be persistent in Coquitlam Centre and Port Moody near the inlet, and further east towards the flats of Port Coquitlam and Pitt Meadows.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Nov 29, 2023 9:07 pm 00Z GFS painting a grim picture.Very high freezing levels and intense rainfall for 2.5-3 days.

Probably going to go into mid December with bare Mountains.
The good news is that the heaviest rain is so far not targeting the Fraser Valley like it did during the November 14/15, 2021 AR. :thumbup:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Nov 29, 2023 10:55 pm The good news is that the heaviest rain is so far not targeting the Fraser Valley like it did during the November 14/15, 2021 AR. :thumbup:
Great Jr. Man l refuse to stay at the in laws if it floods like last time. :sick:
It's currently -2c @ the pond in south Sardis.
I thought l saw a map showing snowfall after the rains.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

tyweather wrote: Wed Nov 29, 2023 3:45 pm Off the rails

Image
:wtf: Oh it's clownage range. :roll:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Nov 29, 2023 12:46 pm Pure fantasy with probably less than a 1% chance of verifying but Euro member 47 slams a hurricane into SW Vancouver Island.
Shows a max wind gust of 139 km/h in Abbotsford on December 7th. October 1962 anyone? :wave:


ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-indiv_gust-1259200.png

xx_model-en-196-0_modez_2023112912_192_5618_149_m47.png
:clap: Finally some possible action happening in December my favorite month of the year.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

:shock: El Neets! :crazy:
Screenshot_20231130_051431_WeatherCAN.jpg
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png



----------------------------------------------
20231130143139-43a070abf6f5749c6684ae11b7897b938275f543.png
20231130143209-508c17228bb5992ee81a117cb5b80d34741c34c4.png
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Next 15-16 days total precip on the ensembles


00z GEFS (GFS ensembles)
gfs-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png


00z EPS (ECMWF ensembles)
eps_apcpn_wus_60.png


00z GEPS (GEM ensembles)
gem-ens_apcpn_wus_64.png
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 6:32 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




----------------------------------------------
20231130143139-43a070abf6f5749c6684ae11b7897b938275f543.png
20231130143209-508c17228bb5992ee81a117cb5b80d34741c34c4.png
50 mm of rain with a high of 12ËšC on Tuesday!

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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 6:40 am 50 mm of rain with a high of 12ËšC on Tuesday!

:dancepine: :dance: :dancepine:
Isn't that a El Nino man special :? Rubes like a pizza with overdone pineapples 🍍 :sick: we hit a low of -3c at the pond in south Sardis overnight before the clouds started rolling in.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Nov 30, 2023 6:32 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (2).png




----------------------------------------------
20231130143139-43a070abf6f5749c6684ae11b7897b938275f543.png
20231130143209-508c17228bb5992ee81a117cb5b80d34741c34c4.png
December heat hump Thot yuck! It's currently plus 1c @ the pond in south Sardis.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Nov 29, 2023 5:59 pm Very frosty here this morning. Captured some photos on my new iPhone 14 Pro Max. :clap: :D :thumbup:

Edit: I'm only able to attach one of them because the rest exceed the 5mb file size limit. Stuffy, is there any way it could be increased to 10mb? I'd rather not compress them down and suffer any quality loss.


IMG_0007.jpeg
Awesome pic Jr. Man l look forward to many weather shots from you now. :clap: :thumbup:
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Low of -2.0c earlier this AM. Very frosty with all the moisture still everywhere from the fog.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Nov 29, 2023 5:59 pm Very frosty here this morning. Captured some photos on my new iPhone 14 Pro Max. :clap: :D :thumbup:

Edit: I'm only able to attach one of them because the rest exceed the 5mb file size limit. Stuffy, is there any way it could be increased to 10mb? I'd rather not compress them down and suffer any quality loss.


IMG_0007.jpeg
Yes but then it will take some people longer to load the page.
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Re: November 2023 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Tomorrow is the start of meteorological winter or in other words (early spring) :cryhard: :drunk: soon we can look forward to higher sun angles.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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