January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Cdn Ensembles 2m temps.
5-10.png
10-15.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6345
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12962 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 9:53 am There's ALWAYS time for this to bust. It's the Pacific Northwest.

2009/2010 ring any bells?
“It is never too late for a last-minute rug pull.” — Me
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4575
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 959 times
Been thanked: 9576 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I’d probably put the odds of arctic air, 850s below -10C, at around 60% right now.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Did we post the 12z ICON?
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3127
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7526 times
Contact:

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Monty wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 12:39 pm I’d probably put the odds of arctic air, 850s below -10C, at around 60% right now.
Is this lower or higher than before? IF we stay warmer but get juicier amounts of snow, who can complain? All we want is to get cold enough for an awesome dump of snow to make it feel like winter.
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6345
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12962 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 12:44 pm Is this lower or higher than before? IF we stay warmer but get juicier amounts of snow, who can complain? All we want is to get cold enough for an awesome dump of snow to make it feel like winter.
Heck, it's an El Niño winter. I will be happy with a seasonal snow total of 30 cm or more.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 12:43 pm Did we post the 12z ICON?
Not great but good to know its saying that. This is still far from a slam dunk.
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 12:49 pm Not great but good to know its saying that. This is still far from a slam dunk.
That's about to drop the hammer.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7094
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2493 times
Been thanked: 12532 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Screenshot_20240103_125736_X.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Storm wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 12:55 pm That's about to drop the hammer.
This makes me tempted to get weather bell. I'd like to see what that ridge is doing...is it rotating towards Alaska and about to build a ridge bridge? And isn't Thursday the time when the other models have the hammer already dropped?
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

UK
1.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22659
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60010 times
Been thanked: 19787 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 12:44 pm Is this lower or higher than before? IF we stay warmer but get juicier amounts of snow, who can complain? All we want is to get cold enough for an awesome dump of snow to make it feel like winter.
I'm scared the higher sun angles will get to us before the Arctic fart does Stufflers. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22659
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60010 times
Been thanked: 19787 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Looks like Abby Sr. is all set on his bluff in Mission town. :wave: formerly Abby Sr. :wtf:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 10709
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12935 times
Been thanked: 24059 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

NAVGEM

:shrug:
1.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 03, 2024 1:05 pm This makes me tempted to get weather bell. I'd like to see what that ridge is doing...is it rotating towards Alaska and about to build a ridge bridge? And isn't Thursday the time when the other models have the hammer already dropped?
Thu 00z is Wed afternoon for us :thumbup:
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
Post Reply