January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Unfortunate trends on the 06 euro and Rgem, cmon now!
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3127
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7526 times
Contact:

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The GEM is a GEM
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6606
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12860 times
Been thanked: 12308 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 6:31 am Unfortunate trends on the 06 euro and Rgem, cmon now!
I’m really worried about a major ice storm in the Fraser Valley. :sick:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 6:31 am Unfortunate trends on the 06 euro and Rgem, cmon now!
NAM joining in.

Image
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 3127
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 5010 times
Been thanked: 7526 times
Contact:

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 7:00 am I’m really worried about a major ice storm in the Fraser Valley. :sick:
gfs-deterministic-or_wa-total_precip_ptype_fourpanel-5633200.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 7:08 am NAM joining in.

Image
Too far out to be in the bullseye
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 7:30 am Too far out to be in the bullseye
The trends do weaken that surge coming from the North.

Let's see the 12z suites today.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 7:37 am The trends do weaken that surge coming from the North.

Let's see the 12z suites today.
It just feels like such a delicate set up. I'd give it a 40% chance of a big snow with the other scenarios being far less desirable. Let's hope we get a big save here from the models.
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6606
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 12860 times
Been thanked: 12308 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 7:44 am It just feels like such a delicate set up. I'd give it a 40% chance of a big snow with the other scenarios being far less desirable. Let's hope we get a big save here from the models.
My guess is that we get some snow followed by significant freezing rain out in the Fraser Valley. Hope I'm wrong.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 7:44 am It just feels like such a delicate set up. I'd give it a 40% chance of a big snow with the other scenarios being far less desirable. Let's hope we get a big save here from the models.
12Z GFS shows light snow to rain back to wet snow and ZR.
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3922
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4164 times
Been thanked: 8316 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Starting to look very nasty
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7099
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16341 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 7:55 am Starting to look very nasty
Really hope the models trend warmer and more aggressive but I fear the cold air will be entrenched.

Image
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2957
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 4534 times
Been thanked: 4973 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Big dump of snow is inevitable with this much cold air!
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

John wrote: Sun Jan 14, 2024 8:00 am Big dump of snow is inevitable with this much cold air!
It's not at all.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: January 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The Gem joins in the ice party. Aaaaand its over. Ok its not over but it feels dire.
Post Reply