February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Abby_wx
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 1454
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Mission City
Elevation: 157m (515ft)
Has thanked: 6574 times
Been thanked: 3680 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

0.1C with moderate snow in Mission. About 1 cm on the grass, and just starting to stick to the roads.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5340
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 9660 times
Been thanked: 9363 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Moderate snow now here. Starting to stick on deck and grass. Currently 0.4C with a dew point of -2C.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6438
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 554 times
Been thanked: 11129 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:10 pm I have never seen more than some fleeting slushy flakes that melt as soon as they hit the ground in March in the PNW. Not any more than that in 30+ years. It is my March snow jinx.

The only way it snows and sticks in March is if I leave town.

Sorry, I don’t make the rules. I just report the rules. I am not allowed to experience sticking snow in March. There are now two more days in which sticking snow is possible then it is all over for the season.
lol i gotcha. Lets get you out of town asap then.

Actually I dont care much if it snows here, the mountain snow checkmark is everything here. But I do think Friday could be your March slump buster.
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3725
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4096 times
Been thanked: 7894 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Garbage precip intensity out west. Getting donut holed. Hope the next several hours produces at least a bit of a save.
2023-24 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 81 to 44 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 39.0 cm + 3 traces
Peak depth: 28.0 cm (Jan 17)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 18969
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 51494 times
Been thanked: 15893 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:27 pm Garbage precip intensity out west. Getting donut holed. Hope the next several hours produces at least a bit of a save.
Moderate snow at my work in Abbs down near Sumas whiteage beginning now.
Join us next season for the 7th annual 2 retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest

:snowatt:
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: :sick:
:hockey: South Sardines: :trophy:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5003
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4154 times
Been thanked: 9816 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:27 pm Garbage precip intensity out west. Getting donut holed. Hope the next several hours produces at least a bit of a save.
Looking increasingly like NAM 3km nailed it.
nam-nest-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-9143200.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12189
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 20504 times
Been thanked: 22908 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:10 pm I have never seen more than some fleeting slushy flakes that melt as soon as they hit the ground in March in the PNW. Not any more than that in 30+ years. It is my March snow jinx.

The only way it snows and sticks in March is if I leave town.

Sorry, I don’t make the rules. I just report the rules. I am not allowed to experience sticking snow in March. There are now two more days in which sticking snow is possible then it is all over for the season.
The occasional March snow dump in Vancouver isn't rare at all. Pretty common actually, especially away from the water. I think you've just been unlucky.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5003
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4154 times
Been thanked: 9816 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:23 pm lol i gotcha. Lets get you out of town asap then.

Actually I dont care much if it snows here, the mountain snow checkmark is everything here. But I do think Friday could be your March slump buster.
I thought the same last season at this time. But as soon as the calendar rolled over it was bust after bust after bust for metro Vancouver despite the overall favourable pattern and just about everyplace else scoring. Even some places on the Oregon Coast got snow while we got bupkis. It was then that I realized the March snow jinx is real.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6438
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 554 times
Been thanked: 11129 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 7:49 pm I thought the same last season at this time. But as soon as the calendar rolled over it was bust after bust after bust for metro Vancouver despite the overall favourable pattern and just about everyplace else scoring. Even some places on the Oregon Coast got snow while we got bupkis. It was then that I realized the March snow jinx is real.
That's interesting, but March is definitely a hit or miss month to begin with.

I have a ridiculously lucky streak when it has to do with snow in general, especially major events. For example, I happened to be in the lower mainland for 2008 and Lower Mainland/Victoria for 1996 even though I lived in Williams Lake/Kelowna at the time(s). When I was in Scotland in 2010 they had their biggest arctic blast in decades. I'll throw in Kelowna during that Dec 2017 arctic fart that probably dumped a metre over there and was a dud here.

And I haven't really missed a major one since moving to the farm here, any of the big dumps that is. Hopefully my lucky charm counteracts your jinx on Friday. Or Sunday for that matter.
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5003
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4154 times
Been thanked: 9816 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

March snow jinx already starting to show up on the GFS. Seattle gets snow, Portland gets snow, Eugene gets snow, Oregon Coast gets snow, Lower Mainland gets bupkis. Again.
gfs-deterministic-or_wa-snow_24hr_kuchera-9413200.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Tue Feb 27, 2024 8:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4479
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 27995 times
Been thanked: 9533 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

I just got home.. drove from South Surrey.

Here is what I saw.. South Surrey around 24th Ave between 152 to 168th Light dusting of white/snow covering grass and roofs. Nothing on the roads. Driving North along 168th through the farmland, snow was falling but not sticking at all. Once up into the Cloverdale area you could see the snow falling a lot better and grass was white with roofs also being white. Nothing on roads. Temp at 0 through this part. When I got up to 168th and Fraser Highway temp dropped to -1 and snow was sticking to almost everything. Once I hit Tynehead at 96th & 168 and up to Highway 1 snow started sticking to the roads and was coming down decently. When I finally got to my area snow was sticking to the road turning it white at -1. So again, Guildford the coldest and snowiest part of Surrey. Mind you I don't know what was happening in Newton.

Currently snowing at -0.8 DP: -2 According to the fence top, I can guess about 1cm has accumulated. So far this has under-performed unless the goods are still coming.
enc_108_162_cam1.jpg
enc_108_156_cam1.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5340
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 9660 times
Been thanked: 9363 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Borderline heavy snow now. Temperature down to 0.2C with the dew point holding at -2C.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6438
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 554 times
Been thanked: 11129 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 8:06 pm March snow jinx already starting to show up on the GFS. Seattle gets snow, Portland gets snow, Eugene gets snow, Oregon Coast gets snow, Lower Mainland gets bupkis. Again.

gfs-deterministic-or_wa-snow_24hr_kuchera-9413200.png
Counter point;
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-9650800.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
walthz
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 149
Joined: Tue Nov 30, 2021 6:21 pm
Location: Squamish downtown
Elevation: 5M
Has thanked: 2280 times
Been thanked: 539 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by walthz »

Maybe 6 cm on ground near the river in Squamish, mostly in the last hour. Looking better...
User avatar
Radar
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 794
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:23 pm
Location: West Abbotsford
Elevation: 290ft
Has thanked: 33 times
Been thanked: 1480 times

Re: February 2024 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Radar »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2024 8:17 pm Counter point;

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera_cm-9650800.png
Pointless map though as it doesn't accurately do precip on the lowlands. I think everyone here knows the GFS map at a a distance out is almost always wrong.
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABBOT57/
23/24 snow total: 48 cm
Post Reply