December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 12:54 pm To be fair...I don't think we can compare the climate to pre-2010 anymore. New standard is maybe 2-3 snowfalls per winter and 1-2 arctic blasts. West Coast Ridging has been dominant and we've seen a significant decrease in Maritime Polar airmasses.
It goes in cycles obviously..highs and lows. It sure would be nice to hit some freak colder wave for the next 20+ years :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:alert:

New Euro Weeklies for Jan
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 4:19 pm :alert:

New Euro Weeklies for Jan
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30-35.png
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40-45.png
Only 29 to 44 days away..plus we gotta break T3s January curse of 31 years too
:think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

But I hope it's correct :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 4:19 pm :alert:

New Euro Weeklies for Jan
25-30.png
30-35.png
35-40.png
40-45.png
That looks like a pattern that could at least get us close to breaking the curse, if it has staying power. Still a long ways to go of course.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

There have been many LR carrots so far, mostly failures
:cancel: :flakey:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 4:50 pm That looks like a pattern that could at least get us close to breaking the curse, if it has staying power. Still a long ways to go of course.
If a December 2016 pattern were to settle in for January, would that be enough to break the curse?
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 7:55 pm If a December 2016 pattern were to settle in for January, would that be enough to break the curse?
Nope. :( :x It's currently 2c @ your holiday pond in south Sardis.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 8:00 pm Nope. :( :x It's currently 2c @ your holiday pond in south Sardis.
Fine. Let's settle on January 1969 then. Deal? :wave:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 4:19 pm :alert:

New Euro Weeklies for Jan
25-30.png
30-35.png
35-40.png
40-45.png
Assuming December doesn't deliver, I'll be very surprised if we don't see an arctic blast of some degree at some point in January. :silent: :thumbup:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 7:55 pm If a December 2016 pattern were to settle in for January, would that be enough to break the curse?
Most definitely! Traditionally, the hallmark of a cold month in Vancouver is an average temp below 0c, but in the current climate, below 1c is good enough in my books.

Since January 1993, YVR has recorded four months with an average temp below 1c. December 2008, December 2016, February 2019, and December 2021.
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

"The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in the neutral range. While not meeting typical La Niña thresholds, some oceanic indices as well as cloud and wind patterns in the Pacific have at times shown weak La Niña characteristics in recent months."
soi30.png
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GEM
:raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:

Day 9
gem_z500a_namer_36.png
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_35.png


Day 10
gem_z500a_namer_41.png
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_40.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 10:27 pm 00z GEM
:raindrip: :raindrip: :raindrip:

Day 9
gem_z500a_namer_36.png
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_35.png



Day 10
gem_z500a_namer_41.png
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_40.png
Horrible :sick: horrible maps Thead, it's currently plus 1c @ frosty's home for Christmas 🎄 the pond in south Sardis.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: December 2024 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Dec 09, 2024 10:49 pm Horrible :sick: horrible maps Thead, it's currently plus 1c @ frosty's home for Christmas 🎄 the pond in south Sardis.
Was clear here but the fog moved in about 30 minutes ago. Temp steady at 1c.
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