January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 7:39 am Very low confidence as to where this pattern is going. Those frickin weeklies just keep teasing it and then it keeps moving back.
More dirty ridging with a pattern that looks favorable for pineapples in the long range.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Image

Oh Canada...
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 8:18 am Americans reacting to how their national "model" performs is a microcosm for how delusional they are in general. I wouldn't be surprised to hear on the news that some dude shot his computer after another wayward GFS run.
Real Americans (tm) follow the GFS! Anyone who pays attention to one of those furriner models is an elitist socialist globalist!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 7:58 am Clear with a low of -1.5c in east Coquitlam this AM.
Only -0.8˚C here. The :dance: belt wins one for once!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 8:45 am Real Americans (tm) follow the GFS! Anyone who pays attention to one of those furriner models is an elitist socialist globalist!
It's ridiculous how emotionally invested they get with maps showing potential scenarios 10+ days out. Every 4-6 hours with some of them staying awake overnight.

Best to assume we are going to see climo prevail and enjoy the sunshine before wet and seasonal weather returns.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 8:41 am Image

Oh Canada...
Just keeping us slightly off balance by posting good maps eh?
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

It’s now within ten days. King Euro, you have the floor.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:05 am It's ridiculous how emotionally invested they get with maps showing potential scenarios 10+ days out. Every 4-6 hours with some of them staying awake overnight.

Best to assume we are going to see climo prevail and enjoy the sunshine before wet and seasonal weather returns.
#FEB climo can be decent Neetz.

:wave:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Then, the whole thing reloads and starts again -- maybe with a focus on the Western U.S. this time.
:shrug:
Screenshot 2025-01-15 at 09-38-24 Ryan Maue on X Cold and dry polar air will sink into the Lower 48 as far south as Texas into early next week. But thankfully some thawing into the following weekend. Then the whole thing relo[...].png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:05 am It's ridiculous how emotionally invested they get with maps showing potential scenarios 10+ days out. Every 4-6 hours with some of them staying awake overnight.

Best to assume we are going to see climo prevail and enjoy the sunshine before wet and seasonal weather returns.
I used to have that level of emotional investment, then I had a wife and kids... :D
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

A relatively mild (compared to down the hill) overnight low of -0.3c

Was so nice to wake up to clear/sunny skies this am.

We deserve it!

:lol:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Some cold runs being shown, but man are they dry.

:thumbdown:

Tell Em Neetz!

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 9:14 am It’s now within ten days. King Euro, you have the floor.
Euro was boring if you want any active or cold weather.

Slightly below seasonal temps and dry.
Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 10:26 am Some cold runs being shown, but man are they dry.

:thumbdown:

Tell Em Neetz!

Image
Coldest air remains east of the Rocky's.
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 10:27 am Euro was boring if you want any active or cold weather.

Slightly below seasonal temps and dry.



Coldest air remains east of the Rocky's.
Ya, starting to see OP runs shift the cold :15arrow2right: :15arrow2right: again.

Ensembles still looks somewhat promising.... for now.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Wed Jan 15, 2025 10:33 am Ya, starting to see OP runs shift the cold :15arrow2right: :15arrow2right: again.

Ensembles still looks somewhat promising.... for now.
The Euro and GEM are fantastic runs if you want clear sky without it being too cold. It really beats the low cloud and drizzle nonsense the GFS is showing us.

I always thought our window for snow and cold is the 2nd half of Feb when we move towards a more Nina-ish pattern with solid +heights over the Pacific.
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